Wintry Weekend Expected (Feb 13-15)

The coldest period of the season so far is approaching. The weekend starts bitterly cold, peaks with a snow storm Saturday evening into Sunday morning and then closes out even colder than it started. Let’s break it down:

Friday highs will range from the mid-teens to the lower 20s (NWNJ to SENJ) for high temperatures. Skies will be mostly sunny with strong winds out of the NW. Gusts to 35mph should be commonly felt from time to time with sustained wind speeds of 15-20mph. Overnight lows should then range from negative single digits to the lower teens (NWNJ to SENJ).

Saturday should range from upper 20s to mid 30s (NWNJ to SENJ) for high temperatures. The day might start with a mixed bag of sun and clouds but should eventually cloud up by afternoon ahead of the approaching clipper. Light to moderate snowfall is then expected Saturday evening through Sunday morning. Here is my latest update on expected accumulations. Until the clipper arrives, winds will be light out of the SW. Once the clipper arrives, temperatures will drop into the teens and 20s. This clipper is originating from the Arctic Circle and it’s dropping down with very cold mid and upper levels. This is why snow ratios will be higher than the standard 10:1 (inches of snow to inches of liquid). Temps should bottom out in the lower teens through the heaviest snowfall overnight as winds become northerly and brutal. Gusts to 60mph aren’t off the table, especially closer to the coast.

Sunday morning conditions will depend on when the system clears out. It could be during early AM hour or later in the morning but definitely by noon at the latest. High temperatures will likely fail to escape the teens. It will be clear but it will feel like the north pole. Expect sustained 15-20mph N/NW winds with gusts to 40mph. Wind chills factors should easily reach the negative 10-20F range. Overnight lows then drop into the negative single-digits for NWNJ and positive single digits for SENJ. We stay like this through at least Tuesday morning.

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Be safe and have a great weekend! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™