Wintry Week Expected (Nov 24-28)

A very powerful low pressure disturbance is currently over the Great Lakes region which is drawing up warmth and moisture from the south. That will result in a very mild start to the week. A secondary coastal low pressure system will form near OBX and cause a winter storm to impact New Jersey and surrounding areas on Wednesday. Let’s break each day of the week down in further detail:

Monday will start out wet as a healthy batch of precipitation moves up the coast. It should clear out relatively early and give way to dry and sunny skies by afternoon. Temperatures are expected to soar into the upper 60s and probably well into the 70s in many places. Winds will be 5-15mph out of the SSW with gusts to 25mph. Overnight lows should then drop into the upper 40s/lower 50s.

Tuesday should be mostly sunny with highs in the mid-50s. Winds will remain strong but out of the W before overnight lows drop into the 30s.

Wednesday will top out in the mid to upper 30s (lower 40s along the coast) as a coastal low pressure system passes by. Many areas will start out as rain as early as mid-morning and then change over to snow in the afternoon-evening as temperatures drop below freezing from NW to SE. Higher elevations of NJ should see all snow while the lower 2/3 of NJ see a rain to snow mix. Accumulations are possible for everyone with maybe the exception of extreme SENJ. I will have a detailed storm update out early this evening that includes detailed expected accumulations and timing. Winds will rock from E to N around the low as it passes by. The changeover from rain to snow will likely occur when winds get to NNE.

Thursday should actually be a decent day sky-wise with the storm clearing out by early morning. The biggest travel factor will be road conditions. Main highways might be okay but secondary and side roads could have problems. Use your discretion but Thanksgiving morning might be a better time to travel than Wednesday. Expect little to no issues for SENJ. Temperatures should reach into the mid-to-upper 30s with a mixed bag of sun and clouds. Winds should be breezy out of the W. Overnight lows then fall into the 20s.

Friday looks colder with highs failing to escape the 30s. Winds will be stiff out of the NW before overnight lows dip into the teens and 20s. An early look at the weekend indicates dry, sunny, and seasonably average conditions.

This Monday-Friday Outlook is proudly sponsored by weathertrends360 (www.weathertrends360.com). Through 150 years of world wide weather data analysis, weathertrends360 has developed proprietary algorithms and methods that predict weather up to a year with 84% accuracy. They are second to none in the long range so check them out for business planning, travel planning, etc. Be safe and have a great week! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC