Week Starts Hot & Humid. Ends Beautiful! (July 20-24)

This week should start with hazy, hot and humid conditions but that should improve by mid-week as high pressure takes control. We really lucked out this weekend rain-wise with such unsettled conditions in the atmosphere. Until the tropical air mass clears, showers and thunderstorms remain possible at any time. Let’s break it down:

Monday high temperatures should reach the 90s for most with maybe a few spots that just fall short in the upper-80s. Dew points will be high making the humidity downright oppressive. With that said, heat indices should break 100 for most with 110 not out of the question inland. Skies should be generally sunny and hazy with just a small chance of isolated showers and/or thunderstorms. Winds should be light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should only drop into the 70s for most (60s for NNJ elevations).

Tuesday high temperatures should level off around 90 as relentless humidity persists. Skies should again be sunny and hazy at least for the first part of the day. A cold front will pass through Tuesday evening which will drop temperatures and dew points for eventually, a pleasant feel. Showers and thunderstorms are possible ahead of the cold front but the latest model guidance is indicating a near-dry frontal passage. It’s the typical scenario where severe thunderstorms could move through PA during afternoon hours and then fizzle out to just scattered showers for NJ by evening. I’ll be tracking this period closely with live observations on Tuesday. Winds will be light out of the SW pre-frontal passage and then light out of the NW afterward. Overnight lows should only drop into the 70s for most (60s for NNJ elevations).

Wednesday high temperatures should only reach the low-to-mid 80s with a noticeable reduction in humidity. It “should” feel like an early taste of fall after the mini-heat wave. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s for most (50s for NNJ elevations). Should be an amazing mid-summer night!

Thursday high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s with a continued pleasant feel. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s for most (50s for NNJ elevations and possibly only 70 for coastal regions). Another beautiful summer night!

Friday high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s as pleasant conditions continue. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the N/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s for most (50s for NNJ elevations and again, possibly only 70 for coastal regions). That should make for 3 great summer nights in a row.

An early look at the weekend indicates nice conditions continuing through Saturday and possibly even some of Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms could return later Sunday with another frontal passage showing on model guidance.

This Monday-Friday outlook is proudly sponsored by weathertrends360 (www.weathertrends360.com). Through 150 years of world wide weather data analysis, weathertrends360 has developed proprietary algorithms and methods that predict weather up to a year with 84% accuracy. They are second to none in the long range so check them out for business planning, travel planning, etc. Also check out their free txt and email alerts!

I took the above photo last night at Cedar Run Dock Road. Be safe and have a great week! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™