Watching Mid-week Snow this Week (Jan 19-23)
Today, tomorrow, most of Thursday and Friday should feature seasonably average dry weather. A light snow event could impact the general region on Wednesday and linger into early Thursday AM. Let’s break down each day:
Monday should reach the upper 30s to mid-40s (from NWNJ to SENJ) for high temperatures. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be 10-15mph out of the NW with gusts to 20mph. Overnight lows should then fall into the 20s statewide.
Tuesday should reach the upper 30s to mid-40s (from NWNJ to SENJ) for high temperatures with cloudier skies than Monday. Winds should again be 10-15mph out of the NW with gusts to 20mph. Overnight lows should then fall into the 20s statewide.
Wednesday should only make it into the 30s statewide for high temperatures. Short-range guidance is indicating a later start for the snow. As of right now it looks to start by Wednesday afternoon and last into early Thursday evening. I’ll have a detailed impact map posted later this evening. Winds should rock from NW to NE as the clipper comes through from the NW and transitions to the coast. Overnight lows should then fall into the 20s.
Thursday should reach the mid-to-upper 30s for high temperatures. If there is light snow cover on the ground from the clipper, expect temperatures to be a bit colder. Skies should feature a mixed bag of sun and clouds as the clipper continues to depart. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should fall into the teens and 20s.
Friday should reach the low-to-mid 30s for high temperatures. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should then drop into the teens statewide.
The weekend storm potential is starting to become interesting. Model guidance has been keeping it out to sea over the last few days. Today’s guidance is trending back towards New Jersey impact but is not fully there yet. I plan to only analyze and report model behavior until ~Wednesday night at which point we can start discussing snow maps (if the storm is still showing on models).
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Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC