Warmer Conditions Expected (Oct 1-5)

Discussion: Ridging, ridging and more ridging. That’s what’s on tap in the upper-levels for the east coast this week. It should last right through the weekend and into next week. This should mean plenty of sunshine and temperatures on the warmer side for October. NWNJ is much more likely to see drier air. SNJ/SENJ could deal with some humidity. Some super long range signals indicate possible tropical problems in the SE US next week but you know how that goes. Obviously this will only be monitored from such a long range but October hurricanes are typical to come out of the Caribbean and track along the east coast. We have a lot of time to see if this threat even exists later this week.

Monday (Oct 1) high temperatures should reach the upper-70s for most, maybe lower-80s for interior areas. Skies should be partly-to-mostly sunny after any AM fog bakes off. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s for most, maybe upper-50s for NNJ elevations.

Tuesday (Oct 2) high temperatures should reach the upper-70s for most, maybe lower-80s for interior areas. Skies should be partly-sunny with a chance for PM showers and thunderstorms, more so for NWNJ than SENJ. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s statewide.

Wednesday (Oct 3) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s for most. Skies should be partly sunny. More humidity should exist for SNJ than NNJ. Winds should be light out of the west. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ.

Thursday (Oct 4) high temperatures should reach the upper-70s/lower-80s for most. Skies should me partly cloudy with a humid feel. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s statewide.

Friday (Oct 5) high temperatures should reach the mid-70s for most. Skies should be partly-to-mostly cloudy. Winds should be light out of the NE. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ.

An early look at the weekend indicates slightly unsettled conditions but mostly okay. Highs in the upper-70s. Lows in the upper-50s/lower-60s. Let’s take a closer look in a few days. Have a great week and please be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™