Unsettled Conditions Expected (July 23-27)

Discussion: Saturday night’s synoptic rain storm pulled a warm front over New Jersey. This is why it currently feels like a tropical jungle. Dew point temperaturess are well into the 70s which aren’t a whole lot cooler than the actual air temperatures. Expect this theme to persist this week as the Bermuda high’s return flow pumps moisture and humidity into the east coast. With actual temps and dews so close, watch out for potential fog mischief overnight. There’s also some upper-level air and energy around to our W and NW. This should prevent actual air temperatures from reaching the danger zone despite the sticky and muggy feel. This upper-level setup should also aid in producing scattered showers and thunderstorms on any given day this week. It’s an unsettled tropical air mass over New Jersey for the near-future. We might see a small reduction in humidity Saturday and Sunday but not total relief. Dews in the 60s would feel nice after a week of dews in the 70s. The big takeaway about this Monday-Friday outlook is that all-day washouts aren’t the case here. Scattered activity on any given day this week is more likely.

Monday (July 23) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s for most. Skies should be mixed with a humid tropical feel. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are possible. Winds should be light out of the S/SE, possibly breezier for the SENJ coast. Overnight lows should stay just above 70 statewide.

Tuesday (July 24) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s for most. Skies should be partly sunny with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms likely floating around. The tropical-feeling humid air mass should linger. Winds should be light out of the S/SE, possibly breezier for the SENJ coast. Overnight lows should stay just above 70 statewide.

Wednesday (July 25) high temperatures should reach the upper-70s for most, maybe lower-80s in some interior locations. Skies should be partly-to-mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms around. The humidity should remain. Winds should be light out of the S. Overnight lows should stay near or just above 70 statewide.

Thursday (July 26) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s for most. Skies should be partly-to-mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms around. The humidity should remain. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should stay near or just above 70 statewide.

Friday (July 27) high temperatures should reach well into the 80s for most. 90+ is possible for interior CNJ/SNJ. Skies should be partly sunny with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms around. Unfortunately the humidity should still be present. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s for NNJ elevations. Most of the rest of NJ should stay near-70.

An early look at the weekend indicates more of the same. Mixed skies, including periods of sun, with showers and thunderstorms possible at any time. We might see a small reduction in humidity but not total relief. Should feel pretty good after how this Monday-Friday feels. After that we might go back to the tropical feel if the Bermuda high holds its flow against the east coast.

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC