Discussion: Once precipitation wraps up late-Monday morning, a classic Norwegian cyclone model will dominate the scene through Thursday morning. First the warm front on Tuesday, then the warm sector for most of Wednesday, lastly the cold front early Thursday AM…all driven by a strong low center tracking to our NW through the Great Lakes. Heavier rain is possible along both fronts as well as lighter rain in the warm sector. Then a weak disturbance floats through on Friday ahead of another possible snow storm for the weekend.. I’ll be watching closely this week and will release articles if necessary. We have some time to see if this sick cruel joke will actually happen or not. Given how this back-loaded winter has been going, why not?
Monday (April 2) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 40s statewide. Overnight snow and rain should end by noon with gradually ending skies after. Winds should be light out of the N/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s statewide.
Tuesday (April 3) high temperatures should range from mid-40s to mid-50s NNJ to SNJ. Skies should be partly-to-mostly cloudy with rain possible. Winds should be light out of the SE. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-40s for most.
Wednesday (April 4) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 60s statewide. Skies should be mostly cloudy with more rain possible. Winds should be breezy, possibly gusty at times, out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall to the upper-20s/lower-30s as a cold front pushes through.
Thursday (April 5) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 40s statewide. Skies should gradually clear to partly sunny by afternoon. Winds should be breezy out of the NW. Overnight lows should range from upper-20s to upper-30s NNJ to SNJ.
Friday (April 6) high temperatures should range from upper-40s to lower-50s NNJ to SNJ. Skies should be partly cloudy with rain possible. Winds should be breezy out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall below freezing statewide after another cold front pushes through.
An early look at the weekend indicates another snow storm signal. We’ve had this signal in our long-range premium forum thoughts for a while now. We’ll be monitoring closely as we further approach the weekend. It could drop off this week’s guidance as easy as it could verify. I’ll have an April long-range discussion posted tomorrow. Be safe! JC
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Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC