Unsettled and Mild

Discussion: This weekend’s weather pattern will mostly be controlled by ridging over the east coast supported by a stubborn Bermuda high. NJ will on the NW side of the ridge which means a few things. First, there is convergence driving the frontal boundary and rainfall/storms which will favor NWNJ with clouds and rain over SENJ despite all being on the hook. Second, it places NJ is the nastiest location for humidity possible with the S/SW flow sourced from the Gulf state regions. It’s the kind of setup where it could be in the 50s and rainy in NWNJ but 70+ for SENJ with improved skies…see Sunday below. Unsettled conditions persist through Monday before a trough with sfc front clears it all out for Tues-Wed. Expect colder temps those days. Then we rebound to milder and unsettled for next weekend as another ridge sets up behind the departing troughing.

Forecast

Friday (April 4) high temperatures should reach the 65-75 range NNJ to SNJ with a humid feel. Skies should remain mostly cloudy with slight improvement by late-afternoon/early-evening. Winds should be very light out of the N/NW. Overnight lows should fall to the 45-50 range with spotty showers possible.

Saturday (April 5) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 50s for most NJ locations. A little closer to 60 away from the ocean in CNJ/SNJ. Skies should be mostly cloudy with period of rain likely. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the E/SE, breeziest along the immediate ECNJ/SENJ coast. Overnight lows should fall to the 45-55 range NNJ to SNJ with unsettled conditions persisting.

Sunday (April 6) high temperatures should range quite a bit. Mid-50s for NNJ to 70+ in SNJ. Rainy/stormy for NNJ and just a mix of sun and clouds across SNJ. Winds should be breezy out of the NW for NNJ and more out of the W for SNJ. Overnight lows should fall to the 40-45 range with statewide showers possible.

An early look at next week (April 7-11) indicates cooler conditions likely. Tuesday and Wednesday look the driest but coolest with highs in the 40s and lows just below freezing. Otherwise 50s/60s for rest of week for highs with lows in the 30s/40s. Rainfall should end Monday but likely return for the weekend. The rainfall is very welcome for improving drought conditions despite the effect on outdoor plans/activities. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC