Discussion: Surface winds are currently off the ocean (out of SE) but they are interacting with the lower-mid levels of warmer S/SW flow. This is forcing the saturation that’s driving the current fog. Please be careful overnight and through tomorrow morning as fog could become quite dense. Once that bakes off by late-morning tomorrow (Friday) we should destabilize in a hazy, hot and humid warm sector ahead of potential PM showers and thunderstorms. It doesn’t look like a linear storm line that would normally hit most areas. Instead the convective action tomorrow afternoon/evening should be of an isolated-to-scattered nature. Hit or miss stuff but the hit spots could see severe criteria met. Moving onto Saturday, the ghostly-remnants of Alberto’s vorticity should set up as a coastal low off Delmarva. This should provide onshore flow and enhance the potential for periods of rainfall and embedded thunderstorms, especially for SNJ. Sunday looks cooler with complete onshore marine flow dominance. The kind of crap where you see pelicans in the fog 30 miles inland. More rainfall is possible Sunday along with drizzle and mist. It looks like we’ll see some sun early next week but clouds could return heading into next weekend.
Friday (June 1) high temperatures should easily reach into the 80s away from the ocean. Do some CNJ/SNJ locations take a run at 90? Maybe. Immediate coastal regions should hang in the upper-70s. Skies should be partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms around, especially during afternoon/evening hours. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fail to dip below the mid-60s statewide.
Saturday (June 2) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s for most. Skies should be mostly cloudy with periods of rainfall likely, especially for SNJ. Embedded thunderstorms are possible…more likely in SNJ than NNJ. Winds should be light out of the E/NE. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-50s statewide as onshore marine flow takes hold.
Sunday (June 3) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 60s. Skies should be mostly cloudy with periods of rainfall likely. Winds should be stiff out of the E (onshore marine flow). Overnight lows should range from upper-40s to upper-50s NNJ to SNJ.
An early look at next week indicates highs in the 70s for most. The first half of the week looks sunnier than the second half. What else is new? </sarcasm>. Let’s take a closer look on Sunday. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC
Who’s coming to our music dinner charity party this year?
Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™