Summery Weekend Expected (June 12-14)

With haze, heat, humidity and isolated thunderstorms possible, this weekend looks pretty summery to me. We can thank the low pressure system moving through the Great Lakes assisted by high pressure in the Atlantic Ocean. Lets break it down:

Friday should reach the upper-80s and 90s for most with heat indices approaching 100 (especially for SWNJ). Skies should be mostly sunny and hazy with just a few clouds overall. Isolated “hit-or-miss”  thunderstorms are possible which have to be now-casted given their random nature. It all depends on whether the pre-frontal trough is enough of a trigger for the rich thunderstorm parameters in place. Most of Thursday’s atmospheric energy was capped but there’s always a chance for it to break through with enough instability.  Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should struggle to dip below 70 statewide…a mid-summer’s night 8)

Saturday highs should range from low-to-upper 80s statewide. A few localized inland locations could break 90. A cold front will be moving through from the NW. If it moves through earlier in the day then it will be a drier scenario. If it moves through later in the day then more storm energy will be allowed to develop ahead of it from solar surface (diurnal) heating. Either way, anything from isolated showers to more mature thunderstorms are possible. Otherwise it will be warm and humid ahead of the cold front with drier/cooler relief behind it. Winds should be breezy out of the SW pre-frontal passage and then breezy out of the N/NW afterwards. Either way, overnight lows should fall into the upper-50s for NWNJ and 60s for the rest of New Jersey with again, drier air mass. There is a small chance that the cold front will take its time clearing SNJ which would mean relief wouldn’t be felt until closer to sunrise Sunday morning.

Sunday should only reach the 80s statewide with a more pleasant feel for most. Some humidity could still exists for SENJ and coastal regions. Skies should be mostly sunny with light winds out of the E/SE. Only a micro-chance of an afternoon/early-evening pop up shower or thunderstorm. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-50s for NWNJ and 60s for the rest of New Jersey.

An early look at next week indicates more heat, humidity and rain/storm possibilities.

Here’s a great forecast video from Weather NJ contributor Bobby Martrich of Eastern PA Weather Authority. You can watch these video forecasts daily right from the main page of weathernj.com:

This weekend outlook is proudly sponsored by weathertrends360 (www.weathertrends360.com). Through 150 years of world wide weather data analysis, weathertrends360 has developed proprietary algorithms and methods that predict weather up to a year with 84% accuracy. They are second to none in the long range so check them out for business planning, travel planning, etc.

Be safe and have a great weekend! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™