Discussion: Except for the immediate ECNJ/SENJ coast, the rest of NJ is currently in the 90s and still has a few degrees to climb until we peak out around 3-3:30pm today (Thursday). The humidity is back, and it feels like traditional hot summer heat. Not much relief overnight tonight as temperatures should fail to dip below 75 and in some cases 80 with persisting humidity. An uncomfortably hot and humid night is the best way I can describe how tonight should feel. Tomorrow (Friday) through the rest of this weekend has a similar theme. SW flow, high humidity, temps in the upper-80s/lower-90s, Most of the day mixed with sun and clouds, afternoon-evening boomers possible…how most understand Florida weather to be. Not everyone will see storms. Many of you are asking when the next time we’ll see decent rainfall. I’m hoping that the synoptic-scale rain system next Sunday-Monday will be just that. Until then, your only hope are isolated-scattered pop-ups generated by Bermuda High humid flow/convergence. As far as temps go, I’m seeing some relief Wednesday night into next weekend if the modeled trough drops down and is reinforced by a Canadian high diving through the Great Lakes into Indiana/Ohio area. This would mean that the W US and C US continue to bake while the E US gets a break with cooler and drier N/NW flow. Until then (now through at least next Wednesday), we bake.
Friday (Aug 5) high temperatures should reach the upper-80s/lower-90s range for most locations. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with a humid feel. Scattered thunderstorms, possibly severe and capable of generating flash flooding downpours, are possible during afternoon-evening hours. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should only sink to the 70-75 range statewide. Another uncomfortably warm and humid night.
Saturday (Aug 6) high temperatures should reach the upper-80s/lower-90s range for most locations. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with a humid feel. More thunderstorms are possible but a little more isolated in nature than how Friday was. Winds should remain light out of the SW. Overnight lows should again fail to dip below the 70-75 range.
Sunday (Aug 7) high temperatures should reach the upper-80s/lower-90s range for most locations. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with a humid feel. Isolated thunderstorms are possible during afternoon-evening hours. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should stay above 70 statewide again.
An early look at next week indicates the heat and humidity lasting through about Wednesday. We might see a stormy transition Wed PM into Thursday with some relief Friday into the weekend. Next Sunday-Monday is currently showing possible widespread rainfall from a synoptic-scale system. Until then, the only rain we’ll see should be from hit-or-miss thunderstorms and maybe some frontal activity Wednesday into Thursday. Have a great weekend. Stay as cool and hydrated as your situation allows for and please be safe! JC
Premium Services
KABOOM Club offers inside info forecast discussion, your questions answered, and early storm impact maps (ahead of the public). At a buck per month, it’s an extremely feasible way to show support.
My Pocket Meteorologist (MPM), in partnership with EPAWA Weather Consulting, offers professional/commercial interests, whose businesses depend on outdoor weather conditions (snow plowing, landscaping, construction, etc.), with hyper-local text message alerts/forecasts and access to the MPM premium forum—the most comprehensive and technical forecast discussion available for PA and NJ.
Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™