Stormy Start then Improvement

Discussion: We start out unsettled this week as a cold front drags through between Monday PM and Tuesday AM. This could bring strong-to-severe criteria thunderstorms to the region later today/tonight. Once that clears, the rest of the week will be dominated by high pressure slowly tracking from the Great Lakes over OBX to Bermuda. You know the deal with anti-cyclonic flow surrounding the high. Cooler and drier ahead of it. Amazing underneath it, Warmer and more humid behind it. That will be our general feel of transition between Tuesday and Friday. The weekend then looks summery with NJ in the warm sector ahead of another storm front in the Sun/Mon-ish period.

Monday (June 14) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s. Skies should be mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms possible during PM hours (more detail to follow today). Winds (outside of a t-storm) should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the lower-60s for most areas.

Tuesday (June 15) high temperatures should reach the upper-70s for most areas. Skies should start cloudy with a few showers around but improve by afternoon into a clear night. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s from elevations to coasts.

Wednesday (June 16) high temperatures should reach the mid-70s. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should range from near-50 to near-60 from elevations to coasts.

Thursday (June 17) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s. Skies should remain mostly clear with a comfortable feel. Winds should remain light out of the NW. Overnight lows should range from near-50 to near-60 from elevations to coasts.

Friday (June 18) high temperatures should reach into the 80s. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from near-60 to near-70.

An early look at the weekend indicates conditions more summery. Highs in the 80s. Mix of sun and clouds. Returning humidity. Afternoon pop-ups. Maybe another storm front Sunday-Monday. Let’s take a closer look in a few days. Everyone have a great week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™