Sept 22: 44th Hobie 16 Championship Race Day 2 Forecast

Jonathan Carr
By September 8, 2014 20:54

Sept 22: 44th Hobie 16 Championship Race Day 2 Forecast

High pressure is now in full control of the region and will make for a gorgeous Tuesday of racing. Expect mostly sunny skies over the Delaware Bay with highs in the upper 60s. Wind direction should be out of the N/NW through early afternoon before switching to the N. Wind speed should be 10-15 knots in the morning but should subside to 3-5 knots by afternoon. Occasional gusts could still reach 10-15 knots through the afternoon. Swell should be 1-2 feet throughout the entire day. Here are the expected race time hourly conditions.

Delaware Bay Expected Hourly Conditions

Time Temperature Wind Direction Wind Speed Swell Skies
11AM EDT 63 N/NW 5-10 knots (G 15 knots) 1-2 feet Mostly Sunny
12PM EDT 64 N/NW 5-10 knots (G 15 knots) 1-2 feet Mostly Sunny
1PM EDT 64 N/NW 5-10 knots (G 15 knots) 1-2 feet Mostly Sunny
2PM EDT 65 N/NW 5-10 knots (G 15 knots) 1-2 feet Mostly Sunny
3PM EDT 66 N/NW 5-10 knots (G 15 knots) 1-2 feet Mostly Sunny
4PM EDT 67 N 3-5 knots (G 10 knots) 1-2 feet Mostly Sunny
5PM EDT 67 N 3-5 knots (G 10 knots) 1-2 feet Mostly Sunny
6PM EDT 65 N 3-5 knots (G 10 knots) 1-2 feet Mostly Sunny

 

Looking beyond Tuesday, Wednesday should be a carbon copy of tomorrow but with onshore flow setting up. Models are starting to indicate a coastal disturbance grazing the region on Thursday into Thursday night but there is still uncertainty. It would be gone by Friday morning. As one area of high pressure departs into the Atlantic to our north on Wednesday, the coastal low tucks in to the south of anti-cyclonic flow (over the Delaware Bay) before another area of high pressure boots it out to sea. This is not a given at this point but it’s something I’ll be watching carefully as we approach Thursday. It would mean 15-20 knot winds out of the NE with anything from drizzle to rain. Friday looks beautiful. Be safe and have a great second day of racing! JC

Jonathan Carr
By September 8, 2014 20:54