Rainy Start. Cooler Week. Milder Weekend.

Discussion: A shallow positive trough will meander over NJ for much of this week, producing colder temperatures with a slightly unsettled feel. The trough should then give way to a building ridge for the weekend, yielding milder conditions. In the immediate period, another low will track from the Great Lakes into SE Canada and drag another rain front/slug through NJ Monday morning. This should continue to pick away at the drought situation though we still have a way to go. The wetter spring months should now help more with this. It’s the dry windy days that present the greatest fire risk. The Monday rain front/slug will then be followed by the colder mid-week air with Wednesday night likely the coldest point of the week. On Friday, the winds should shift to SW and temps should moderate through Saturday/Sunday with the establishing ridge. Seeing more rain possibly Sunday night and Monday. The 9^th inning of the winter baseball game has concluded. It’s only super freak snow possible for the next few weeks and I’m not seeing signs of such outside of some April fools fantasy-range signals dropping off as quickly as they pop on for a run at a time. We’re likely finished until Fall 2025 for snow.

Forecast

Monday (March 24) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 50s for most NJ locations. Skies should be mostly cloudy with periods of rain favoring AM hours possibly spilling into afternoon but clearing by evening. Winds should be breezy out of the S/SW, possibly gusty along the SENJ coast. Overnight lows should fall to the 35-45 range NNJ to SNJ as conditions continue drying out.

Tuesday (March 25) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s for most NJ locations. Skies should be mixed with more sun than clouds. Winds should be breezy out of the W. Overnight lows should range from 30-40 NNJ to SNJ.

Wednesday (March 26) high temperatures should reach near-50 for most NJ locations. Skies should be mostly cloudy with a few showers around. Winds should be breezy out of the NW. Overnight lows should fall to the upper-20s/lower-30s for most NJ locations.

Thursday (March 27) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 50s for most NJ locations. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from 35-45 NNJ to SNJ.

Friday (March 28) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s for most NJ locations. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall to the 32-45 range NNJ to SNJ.

An early look at the weekend (March 29-30) indicates a milder trend that starts with Friday. Saturday a few degrees warmer than Friday with the continued SW flow. Sunday the mildest day but possibly the cloudiest and breeziest. Let’s see how it looks in a few more days. Everyone have a great week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC