Discussion: This week looks horrible for outdoor plans through Saturday. Nothing dangerous. But horrible for outdoor interests. We don’t need the rain. We are far from a drought. But here comes more of it. The upper-levels coincide with the lower-levels in that low after low (system after system) is expected to train through NJ or just to the S of NJ between now and Saturday. Looks like about 3 of them. Ridging is never allowed to fully establish between the systems and that’s why temps will hug the 60s most of this week, maybe some 70s away from the ocean. These lows are expected to track like nor’easters. But instead of a singular low stalling off the coast, they will pass through progressively. We’ll still have prolonged periods of onshore flow (out of E/NE or NE) but again from separate systems not one long one. Winds should crank a little but nothing dangerous due to these progressive lows being weak. Looking forward to the weekend, Sunday looks like the better day vs Saturday.
Tuesday (May 14) high temperatures should reach the mid-70s for most NJ locations. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Showers, even a few thunderstorms, are possible during afternoon/evening hours. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S/SW, breeziest along the ECNJ/SENJ coast. Overnight lows should fall to about 60 as rain and t-storm chances persist into Wednesday.
Wednesday (May 15) high temperatures should reach the mid-60s for most NJ locations. Skies should be mostly cloudy with more periods of rain likely. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the E/NE. Overnight lows should fall to the mid-50s as rain and wind continues.
Thursday (May 16) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 60s for most NJ locations. Skies should start cloudy with some showers around but improve by afternoon/evening. Winds should be light out of the NE. Overnight lows should fall to the mid-50s again with more showers possible.
Friday (May 17) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 60s for most NJ locations. Skies should be mixed with more clouds than sun. Winds should be light out of the NE. Overnight lows should fall back into the mid-50s statewide.
An early look at the weekend indicates another unsettled (cloudy and rainy) Saturday in the 60s and a much better-looking Sunday in the 70s. Have a great week and please be safe! JC
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Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™