Discussion: Onshore flow, from the developing high to our N/NW, has provided some relief today. That coastal I was watching should pass just to the S of NJ tonight through tomorrow morning. For that reason a few showers and thunderstorms could be around for Monday morning’s AM commute especially for SNJ. After that high pressure will quickly regain control and provide a beautiful Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning via N flow. By Wednesday afternoon the flow should switch to the S/SW and that should bring back the humidity. SW flow should then intensify until a cold front pushes through in the Thursday night-Friday morning time frame. The front should provide short relief as temperatures and humidity climb back for Saturday and Sunday. Another coastal disturbance is modeled nearby for Sunday into Monday. I’ll keep an eye on it this week should it trend towards a higher impact scenario.
Monday (July 8) high temperatures should reach near-80 for most areas maybe mid-80s for SWNJ/WCNJ. Skies should be partly sunny with possibly a few AM showers or thunderstorms around. Winds should be light out of the E/SE for most. A bit breezier along the immediate coast. Overnight lows should range from upper-50s to mid-60s from NNJ to SNJ.
Tuesday (July 9) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 80s for most areas. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the N/NE. Overnight lows should range from upper-50s to near-70 NNJ to SNJ.
Wednesday (July 10) high temperatures should reach well into the 80s for most. Interior CNJ/SNJ should push into the 90s. Skies should be partly sunny. Winds should be light out of the E/NE. Overnight lows should range from near-60 to near-70 NNJ to SNJ.
Thursday (July 11) high temperatures should reach well into the 80s for most. Interior CNJ/SNJ should at least flirt with 90. Skies should be mostly sunny and humid with PM rain and thunderstorms possible along a cold front. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should range from mid-60s to lower-70s NNJ to SNJ.
Friday (July 12) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 80s for most. Skies should be partly sunny after any AM frontal rain and thunderstorms depart. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from upper-50s to lower-70s NNJ to SNJ.
An early look at the weekend indicates more heat, humidity and thunderstorm chances. I’m watching another possible coastal development for the Sunday-Monday period. Let’s see how it looks in a few days. Everyone stay cool and be safe! JC
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Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™