For the most part we’re mild this week but not completely dry. Let’s break it down…
Disco: The pattern appears rather active with at least a weak low pressure disturbance passing over/near New Jersey every few days. None of them are strong systems and therefore precipitation is pretty run-of-mill for a wet start to spring. A much needed nuisance. I suppose a few embedded thunderstorms are possible within these systems but I’m not seeing any severe outbreaks associated. It looks like Tuesday into Wednesday morning and Friday into Saturday morning are the periods which will feature such conditions. The time between Wednesday afternoon through Friday morning and Saturday afternoon through the weekend appears dry and sunny. Most of the week should be mild with the exception of late Wednesday night through most of Thursday. This is when we’ll dip down in temperature a bit as northerly winds drag a colder air mass through. With that said, look for a cold front passage Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Once the Friday-Saturday AM disturbance clears, the weekend looks beautiful afterwards (late Saturday morning through Sunday).
Monday (Mar 27) high temperatures should reach into the 50s for most with 60s, maybe even 70 not out of the question for SNJ (furthest from boundary). NNJ is closest to the boundary so will likely stay colder. Skies should be mostly cloudy with rain and drizzle likely. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-40s for most as damp conditions continue. Coastal areas could hang in the lower-50s.
Tuesday (Mar 28) high temperatures should reach the upper-50s/lower-60s for most. Parts of CNJ/SNJ could take a run at 65+. Skies should be mostly cloudy with a few breaks of sun possible. Rain and thunderstorms are possible, especially during afternoon/early evening hours. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s statewide.
Wednesday (Mar 29) high temperatures should reach the upper-50s/lower-60s statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny after any remnant showers/clouds move out in the morning. Winds should be light out of the N. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s for most. NNJ elevations could dip into the upper-20s while the immediate coast could hang in the lower-40s.
Thursday (Mar 30) high temperatures should reach into the 50s away from the ocean. Coastal areas should be held in the 40s. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Winds should be light out of the E, possibly a bit breezier along the ocean. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-30s/lower-40s statewide.
Friday (Mar 31) high temperatures should reach into the 40s for most, possibly into the 50s away from the ocean. Skies should be mostly cloudy with rain possible. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the SE (felt moreso along the ocean). Overnight lows should fall into the upper-30s/lower-40s statewide.
An early look at the weekend indicates more highs in the 50s and 60s. As of right now it appears that some of Friday’s rain could spill into Saturday morning but the rest of the weekend would be sunny and dry once that clears. Let’s revisit this on Thursday night. Have a great week and please be safe! JC
Image Credit: From Stone to Sand by Greg Molyneux Photography
Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™