Discussion: It looks like tonight will be another cold one as high pressure remains to our immediate W—delivering N/NW anti-cyclonic flow into the coldest part of the overnight (Friday AM). The high should move offshore by Saturday, reversing the flow to a warmer and juicier air mass for Saturday and Sunday. This flow will be part of the steering current for Delta’s remnants. Delta should make landfall somewhere in the extreme E TX/W LA border Friday PM, likely as a category 3 transitioning to a category 2 hurricane. Delta’s remnants are expected to weaken significantly by the time they pass over the E US/SE US and arrive at NJ Sunday PM. Looks like just some rain and breeze from a strung out swath of energy. Mild and wet conditions could linger along an area of stalled convergence into much of next week. For this weekend, Friday and Saturday are your best outdoor days with Saturday the warmest. The first part of Sunday looks dry but with increasing cloudiness and rainfall likely by afternoon hours.
Note: Unless specifically mentioned by location (Example: NNJ elevations, SENJ immediate coast, Interior CNJ/SNJ, etc.) assume the following forecast language is statewide for New Jersey. When I say “from elevations to sea” I mean from NWNJ mountains spreading down to immediate ECNJ/SENJ coastal areas. Directions are shortened (N = North, S = South, W/SW = West/SouthWest, etc.).
Tonight (Oct 8) overnight lows should range from 30s to 40s from elevations to sea. Dry and crisp.
Friday (Oct 9) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 60s for most. You might see interior CNJ/SNJ flirt with 70. Skies should be mostly sunny with a dry feel. Winds should be light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should range from 40s to near-60 from elevations to sea.
Saturday (Oct 10) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s from elevations to sea.
Sunday (Oct 11) high temperatures should reach the mid-70s. Skies should be mostly cloudy with rain developing by afternoon hours and lasting into the overnight. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S/SE. Overnight lows should range from near-50 to mid-60s from elevations to sea.
An early look at next week indicates mild and wet conditions lasting well into the week. As of now it looks like a cold front would clear everything out for the weekend.
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Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™