Discussion: A strong blocking ridge currently exists over SE Canada and will retrograde/reform back over the NE US by the end of the week. This should keep any defined troughs in the central/western US while allowing some upper lows to cut off and slide under the ridge. At the lower levels, the means Monday-Wednesday is subject so a few areas of low pressure meandering off the east coast. Clouds and bands of light rain off the ocean despite the lack of coastal storm organization. The most likely takeaway will be a general milder feel for late-October until Thursday night. It looks like high pressure should move into the areas by Thursday with the re-establishment of the NE US/SE Canadian ridge. This would push a cold front through by Thursday night and return NJ temperatures to a more seasonal feel heading into the weekend (highs near 60 and lows in 30s/40s). As of right now Friday-Sunday looks dry.
Monday (Oct 24) high temperatures should reach the mid-60s for most areas. Skies could start rainy but conditions should improve for most through afternoon hours. Winds should be light out of the N/NE. Overnight lows should fall to the 55-60 range with scattered rain showers possible overnight.
Tuesday (Oct 25) high temperatures should reach the upper-60s/lower-70s. Cooler near the ocean. Warmer inland, especially WCNJ/SWNJ. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Can’t rule out isolated showers. Winds should be light out of the E. Overnight lows should hover near 60 for most areas.
Wednesday (Oct 26) high temperatures should again reach near-70 for most areas. Skies should feature more clouds than sun with isolated showers not off the table. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the low-to-mid 50s.
Thursday (Oct 27) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 60s for most areas. Skies should be mostly cloudy…a few friendlies around. But overall, a pleasant feel. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s for most areas with immediate coastal regions likely hugging the lower-50s.
Friday (Oct 28) high temperatures should reach the lower-60s. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Winds should be light out of the NE. Overnight lows should range from mid-30s to mid-40s. from elevations to coasts.
An early look at the weekend indicates fair conditions. Highs near 60 and lows in the 30s/40s. Let’s see how it looks in a few days. Everyone have a great week and please be safe! JC
Premium Services
KABOOM Club offers inside info forecast discussion, your questions answered, and early storm impact maps (ahead of the public). At a buck per month, it’s an extremely feasible way to show support.
My Pocket Meteorologist (MPM), in partnership with EPAWA Weather Consulting, offers professional/commercial interests, whose businesses depend on outdoor weather conditions (snow plowing, landscaping, construction, etc.), with hyper-local text message alerts/forecasts and access to the MPM premium forum—the most comprehensive and technical forecast discussion available for PA and NJ.
Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™