Mild Spring Conditions (April 6-10)

Discussion: The upper-jet looks to stay near/overhead of NJ this week in a zonal configuration. The jet will slowly build intensity and likely flex into a decent streak by Thursday-Friday. 500mb geopotential height anomalies should be near-average for the start of the week but drop negative by Thursday with the passing of a strong low pressure system to the N of NJ (over SE Canada). All of this points towards very similar conditions every day this week…mild temperatures with a mix of sun, clouds and passing spring showers. No day should be a washout. Most of the days should feature sun and clouds. But the traditional spring showers cannot be ruled out with an unsettled upper-level pattern, especially during late-afternoon through overnight hours. The weekend should be drier once the system drags a cold front through. This would mean clearer skies, slightly cooler (not cold) temperatures and no rain.

Monday (April 6) high temperatures should at least reach near-60 for most areas. Interior CNJ/SNJ could take a run into the mid-to-upper 60s and possibly flirt with 70. We’ll see. Regardless a comfortably mild day statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-30s to mid-40s.

Tuesday (April 7) high temperatures should reach near-60 for most areas. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds for most of the day with increasing cloudiness towards evening hours. A few passing spring showers cannot be ruled out especially later in the afternoon/evening. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall to near-50 with more passing showers.

Wednesday (April 8) high temperatures should reach well into the 60s for most areas. 70+ is very possible for the traditional warmer spots of interior CNJ/SNJ. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with isolated spring showers possible. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s statewide.

Thursday (April 9) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s for most areas. Low-60s possible for interior CNJ/SNJ. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with more passing spring showers possible. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should range from mid-30s to mid-40s NNJ to SNJ.

Friday (April 10) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 50s for most areas. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with a few isolated spring showers possible. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-30s to mid-40s NNJ to SNJ.

An early look at the weekend indicates highs ranging from mid-50s to lower-60s and lows ranging from mid-30s to mid-40s with mixed skies. Cooler but drier. Let’s see how it looks in a few days. Everyone have a great week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™