The first part of the week looks dry and pleasant. Humidity should then build mid-week and lead us into an unsettled weekend. Let’s break it down:
Disco: High pressure will have control of most of the week. Monday and Tuesday should hold onto the drier flow from the N. Once the high gets out over the Atlantic Ocean, it will return a southerly flow to the region which will build the humidity heading into the weekend. A series of low pressure disturbances should then ride a near-stationary frontal boundary through the Mid-Atlantic US and keep conditions unsettled through the weekend.
Monday (Aug 8) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny with a pleasant feel. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s for most and 50s up in NNJ elevations.
Tuesday (Aug 9) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 80s statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the S/SE which will begin to build the humidity back in. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s for most (70s along the coast).
Wednesday (Aug 10) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 80s statewide. Skies should be humid and partly sunny for most of the day but showers and thunderstorms are possible between afternoon and evening hours. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should stay above 70 statewide.
Thursday (Aug 11) high temperatures should reach the 90s away from the ocean. NNJ elevations and coastal regions might be held in the 80s. Skies should be partly sunny and humid. Showers and thunderstorms are possible between afternoon and evening hours. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 70s statewide.
Friday (Aug 12) high temperatures should reach into the 90s away from the ocean. Coastal regions might be held in the 80s. Skies should be mostly sunny and humid with just an isolated chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Winds should be breezy out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 70s statewide.
Marine: Water temperatures along the NJ beaches are still running in the 73-77F range with much warmer water offshore. Wave heights should be 1-3/2-4 through most of this week with SE wave direction.
Tropics: No direct threats to the east coast but still monitoring two areas of tropical development. The first will linger in the SE US and bring well-above average rainfall to N Florida and the gulf states. The second is north of the Lesser Antilles and should remain out to sea.
Stargazing: The moon will transition from evening crescent to first quarter/waxing gibbous this week. That means minimal lunar light pollution once the moon sets in the W. Tonight, Monday and Tuesday night will likely be the best stargazing conditions due to the drier and clearer air. Once the humidity builds mid-week and into the weekend, there will likely be more haze overnight.
An early look at the weekend indicates unsettled conditions. A series of low pressure systems will push through a near-stationary frontal boundary that might not push out of our area until early next week. Have a great week and be safe! JC
Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™