Heat and Humidity to Continue

Discussion: It’s time for a death ridge of heat. Tuesday and Wednesday should get toasty but they won’t represent the finale. Barry’s remnants should track over our region in the Wednesday night-Thursday morning time period. This could produce anything from routine showers and thunderstorms to a severe outbreak. I’ll be watching that period in case the latter becomes likely. For now the former seems reasonable. Thursday should be the least hot day of the week (in the wake of the rain/storms) but this should be short-lived. Friday through Sunday should then feature some of the hottest weather of the year if not THE hottest. Shower and thunderstorm activity should be limited/minimal for the weekend as a capping inversion and other convective inhibiting factors will likely build under such a ridge. Next Monday into Tuesday looks like the next period for storms once the front pushes through the extremely destabilized air mass over the Mid-Atlantic US.

Tuesday (July 16) high temperatures should break 90 for most places. Interior CNJ/SNJ should reach the mid-90s. Skies should be partly sunny and humid. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from upper-60s to mid-70s NNJ to SNJ.

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Wednesday (July 17) high temperatures should reach the low-90s for most places. Interior CNJ/SNJ should reach the mid-to-upper 90s. Skies should be partly sunny and humid with isolated showers and thunderstorms around especially overnight into Thursday. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from near-70 to mid-70s NNJ to SNJ.

Thursday (July 18) high temperatures should top out in the mid-to-upper 80s for most. Skies should be partly sunny and humid. Showers and thunderstorms are possible with AM hours favored for such. Winds should be light out of the W/SW for most but possibly out of the E for the immediate coast (sea breeze effect). Overnight lows should range from upper-60s to mid-70s NNJ to SNJ.

Friday (July 19) high temperatures should reach into the 90s statewide and possibly 100+ for areas away from the ocean. Skies should be mostly sunny and humid. Heat indices should impress. Winds should be light out of the SW for most. Again, the sea breeze effect could produce E winds off the ocean which would slightly cool the immediate coast. You can never rule out a pop-up shower or thunderstorm in this setup but most areas should be clear.

An early look at the weekend indicates excessively hot temperatures and elevated humidity. Probably the hottest weekend of the year. Should be mostly clear but I cannot stress heat safety enough. Stay as hydrated and cool as possible. Have a great rest of your week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™