Great Start Wet Finish (Oct 25-27)

Discussion: upper-level ridging should dominate the first half of the weekend pattern with high pressure at the surface. This should keep us mostly dry from now through Saturday night. A weak shortwave should then track through the Great Lakes (well to the NW of NJ) and bring a nuisance period of rain to the surface from late Saturday night through about Sunday afternoon. Upper-level heights should remain built along the E US until a trough moves in mid-week. This should push a cold front through at the surface and chill the entire region down for the weekend. That should be some of the coldest air we’ve seen yet this fall. No major storm systems on the near-future horizon.

Friday (Oct 25) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 60s for most areas. Skies should be partly-to-mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from lower-40s to lower-50s NNJ to SNJ.

Don’t forget to check out Operation Halloween this weekend!

Saturday (Oct 26) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 60s for most areas. Skies should transition from partly sunny to mostly cloudy throughout the day. Light rainfall is possible closer to midnight. Overnight lows should range from near-40 to near-50 NNJ to SNJ.

Sunday (Oct 27) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 60s. Skies should be mostly cloudy with periods of rain likely through morning and afternoon hours. Rain should taper off by late-afternoon/early-evening. Total rainfall should ballpark statewide in the half-inch to 1 inch range.  Winds should be light out of the S perhaps breezier for coastal SNJ. Overnight lows should fall into the 50s for most areas.

An early look at next week indicates dry and sunny conditions for the most part. The first half of the week should reach into the lower-60s for highs. There should be some sort of mid-week rainy transition that ushers in a colder air mass for the weekend. We’re talking highs barely into the 50s with overnight lows dipping below freezing (for interior areas). Coastal areas a little less cold but not by much. Everyone have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™