Great Outdoor Conditions

Discussion: We’ll be between a split upper-jet pattern this weekend. Zonal flow with average geopotential heights. Nothing really worth noting in the upper levels. At the lower levels, we have high pressure crossing over New England from Canada to the Atlantic Ocean. At the surface, this will provide the coolest and most fall-feeling night yet tonight (Thursday night). Friday and Saturday slightly warmer with humidity working back in a bit. Sunday the warmest and most humid day. But the entire weekend looks clear and ideal for outdoor activities. The tropics remain quiet for NJ. I’ll be watching for Fiona to impact the NW Caribbean this weekend as a Tropical Storm before turning just N of Puerto Rico towards Bermuda next week. Fiona will likely pass well offshore of NJ later next week as a strong cold front is expected to push through the Mid-Atlantic US around ~Thursday. So likely an ocean storm enhancing rip currents along the beaches at best.

Tonight (Thursday night) looks cool (early fall feel) with overnight lows eventually falling into the 40s/50s. You know how amazing today felt and should definitely feel the drop with sundown.

Friday (Sept 16) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s for most areas. Skies should be mixed with mostly sun and a few clouds. A comfortable and pleasant feel. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from 50-60 from elevations to coasts.

Saturday (Sept 17) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s for most areas. Skies should be mostly sunny with a drier feel. Winds should be light out of the S/SE. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to lower-60s from elevations to coasts.

Sunday (Sept 18) high temperatures should reach the mid-80s for most. Interior CNJ/SNJ might even take a run at 90. Skies should be mostly sunny but with a little humidity back in play. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from 60-70 from elevations to coasts.

This weekend in a sentence: Gorgeous conditions for outdoor activities as the weekend starts fallish and ends late-summery.

An early look at next week indicates low-to-mid 80s with dry conditions (rain-wise). There might be some humidity around though. Let’s take another look on Sunday. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

Premium Services

KABOOM Club offers inside info forecast discussion, your questions answered, and early storm impact maps (ahead of the public). At a buck per month, it’s an extremely feasible way to show support.

My Pocket Meteorologist (MPM), in partnership with EPAWA Weather Consulting, offers professional/commercial interests, whose businesses depend on outdoor weather conditions (snow plowing, landscaping, construction, etc.), with hyper-local text message alerts/forecasts and access to the MPM premium forum—the most comprehensive and technical forecast discussion available for PA and NJ.

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™