Father’s Day Weekend Outlook (June 19-21)

Remnants of Tropical Storm Bill will continue to approach our region from the west. In addition, high pressure will be moving across the Great Lakes and through New England over the weekend. This synoptic pattern should keep some of the weekend dry but Saturday night into at least late-Sunday morning looks rainy. With any luck, more of Sunday will be salvaged by an earlier clear. Let’s break it down:

Friday should reach well into the 80s for most with noticeable humidity. Cloudy skies and a few lingering showers are possible in the morning but conditions should improve to just isolated showers during afternoon-evening hours with otherwise sunny skies. A cold front is pushing through which should make for a nicer Friday evening-overnight. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should drop into the 60s for most of New Jersey (upper-50s for NWNJ).

Saturday should reach the mid-to-upper-70s for most of New Jersey (maybe lower-80s for points South) for high temperatures. The day might start nice and sunny but eventually clouds should move in and ultimately heavy rainfall. High pressure positioned near Maine will provide a decent easterly wind component off the ocean which will assist clouds in forming by afternoon/early-evening. I would expect rain to start by sun-down, if not a little earlier, from west to east. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s statewide as rainfall, heavy at times, falls overnight into Sunday.

Sunday should reach the lower-80s for high temperatures. Expect heavy AM rainfall with possibly a few wind gusts as final core Tropical Storm Bill remnants move through. There is a small chance it will all clear by noon, if not late afternoon. With that said, we should see sunshine before sunset. Winds should be light out of the S. Overnight lows should fall to about 70 statewide.

An early look at next week indicates hazy, hot and humid conditions with scattered afternoon showers and t-storms. Here’s a great video outlook by Weather NJ contributor Bobby Martrich of Eastern PA Weather Authority:

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Be safe and have a great weekend! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™