Conditions Improve (June 12-14)

Discussion: We’ve got an active upper-jet pattern in place for the next week or so. Cristobal’s remnants have formed a post-tropical cyclone in E Canada with a frontal boundary attached to it’s S. This frontal boundary is what currently moved through NJ today bringing showers and thunderstorms. Behind this front exists pleasant conditions (lower humidity and temperatures) which should last through Saturday possibly into Sunday. Then high pressure moves in behind the trailing cold front sector (to our N) and is expected to pin an area of unsettled conditions in place over the Mid-Atlantic US from Sunday well into next week. This means that rain and possibly thunderstorms could dominate the pattern from Sunday/Monday through possibly late next week. Given the uncertainty it’s best to take another look at fresh data on Sunday.

Note: Unless specifically mentioned by location (Example: NNJ elevations, SENJ immediate coast, Interior CNJ/SNJ, etc.) assume the following forecast language is statewide for New Jersey.

Friday (June 12) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s for most areas with a less humid feel than recent days. Skies should be mostly sunny for a few clouds here and there. SNJ/SENJ could see slightly more clouds but still a nice day. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ.

Saturday (June 13) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s for most areas. Traditional warmer spots in CNJ/SNJ away from the ocean could break 80. The more pleasant feel should remain in place. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Winds should be light out of the N/NE. Overnight lows should range from lower-50s to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ.  

Sunday (June 14) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 70s. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with showers and thunderstorms possible. Winds should be light out of the NE. Overnight lows should fall to near-60 with showers possible overnight.

An early look at next week indicates temperatures in the upper-70s/lower-80s with a very unsettled look. I would expect showers and possibly thunderstorms are possible almost every single day. Have a great weekend everyone and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™