Cold Week Expected (Nov 17-21)

Precipitation will move into the region later this evening from the SW. A washout is expected overnight and through most of tomorrow. Well below-average temperatures will then ride in behind the rain and stick around through Thursday. I’m watching the Friday-Saturday period for possible wintry precipitation. Let’s look at each day:

Monday should range from the upper-30s to the lower-50s (NWNJ to SENJ) for high temperatures despite the moderate-to-heavy rainfall. Light-to-moderate winds will vary from S to E as the low swings through. Once precipitation ends towards the evening hours, temperatures will drop into the 20s. The NW winds will help dry things out overnight but just in case…watch out for pockets of black ice.

Tuesday high temperatures should range from the lower to mid-30s with 10-15mph WNW winds (gusts to 25mph).  Skies should be sunny, clear and dry before overnight lows dip into the lower 20s (teens for NWNJ).

Wednesday should range in the mid-30s for high temperatures with 10-15mph WSW winds (gusts to 20mph). Expect mostly sunny skies before overnight low temperatures fall into the 20s (lower 30s for coastal regions).

Thursday should feature slightly warmer temperatures than Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the 40s and partly cloudy skies. Winds should remain stubborn out of the WSW at 10-15mph (gusts to 20mph) as overnight lows drop into the 20s again.

Friday, and into Saturday, should see precipitation with marginal temperatures across the region (hovering near/slightly above freezing). Snow would be more likely NE of 95/NJTP with rain more likely SE of 95/NJTP. It doesn’t look like a big storm at this point but I’ll be monitoring. We’re then likely looking at a small warm-up just before Thanksgiving as the colder pattern reloads.

This Monday-Friday Outlook is proudly sponsored by weathertrends360 (www.weathertrends360.com). Through 150 years of world wide weather data analysis, weathertrends360 has developed proprietary algorithms and methods that predict weather up to a year with 84% accuracy. They are second to none in the long range so check them out for business planning, travel planning, etc. Be safe and have a great week! JC

Image Credit: I’ll leave you when the summertime by Greg Molyneux of Greg Molyneux Photography

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety discussion and forecasting services for New Jersey and surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible forecast discussion ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact this great garden state of ours. All Weather. All New Jersey.™ Be safe! JC