Cold Dry Weekend Expected (Jan 27-29)

Rain has cleared out and we’re now looking cold and dry for the weekend. Let’s break it down…

Disco: The frontal wave/disturbance that brought light rainfall to the region has cleared out. A cold front is moving through tonight-tomorrow and it will place us under a cold air mass for as far as I can see into the future. There might be one or two transient 12-24 hour periods of mild weather tucked in there somewhere, but otherwise the next 14-21 days should reflect temperatures more consistent with winter.

As far as this weekend goes, there are not many synoptic players involved. Just a broad longwave trough of cold air swining into our region. Friday will be a day of transition as the cold front finishes moving through. This will establish a colder Saturday and Sunday and a prolonged period of W/NW winds out of the Great Lakes/Northern plains region. With that said, let’s not rule out a few lake-effect flurries but the majority of the weekend should be cold and dry.

Nothing rock-solid is showing snow-wise beyond this weekend. I’m seeing a few weak waves but again, nothing to write home about. We’ll have to take every 4-7 day forecasting period at a time to see if this colder pattern produces snow. You’ll know about something as soon as I do.

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Friday (Jan 27) high temperatures should just reach into the 40s statewide. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Winds should be breezy-to-gusty out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 20s for most of the state. SNJ and coastal SENJ might hover around freezing.

Saturday (Jan 28) high temperatures should struggle to escape the 30s statewide. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the W. Overnight lows should fall below freezing statewide with most in the 20s. NWNJ elevations could dip into the teens and coastal regions could hover around 30.

Sunday (Jan 29) high temperatures should again struggle to escape the 30s statewide. Skies should be party-to-mostly cloudy. Winds should be light out of the W. Overnight lows should fall into the teens for NWNJ elevations and the 20s for the rest of NJ.

An early look at next week indicates more colder weather. We have a few waves/disturbances moving through that “might” produce some wintry precipitation but nothing to write home about. I’ll revisit this on Sunday for the Monday-Friday outlook. Everyone have a great weekend! Please stay warm and be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™