Discussion: Heartbreak for the snow lover has continued overnight as models trended even further SE than they did yesterday. Energy is now sampled over land for both pieces of energy involved, and it still looks like the southern stream is
Discussion: Today’s article is going to be a deep dive into what’s going on with the Wednesday-Thursday snowstorm signal. So that I don’t waste anyone’s time, this article will not be conclusive, nor will it offer an official forecast. That’s
Discussion: Before we get to wintry and non-wintry expectations for the weekend, let’s look at the forecast leading up to the event. We’ve been in daily article storm mode for a while now and it’s easy to lose focus on
Discussion: If the 18Z model guidance remains consistent through this evening for Tuesday-Wednesday, we will transition to storm mode during the Super Bowl. That means serious tracking for a legitimate snowstorm has begun and there will be zero tolerance for
Discussion: NJ is currently sitting under the bottom of a flat trough of cold air which extends into SE Canada…maybe just W of the bottom of it but still just inside the colder zone. This configuration is supporting W/NW or
Discussion: There comes a time where a forecaster like me needs closure. I began tracking and discussing yesterday’s snowstorm signal on January 8 and it’s been a long process of data analysis and live observations leading right up through the
Discussion: As of right now (Monday afternoon, April 17), a cold front is just passing through, powered by a Great Lakes trough/upper-low and surface low further N in Canada. This is going to set up a cooler/colder period this evening
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Discussion: A Happy Halloween to those who celebrate! The most notable feature to dominate New Jersey’s weather pattern is the developing ridge. I’m seeing above-average geopotential height anomalies through Nov 12. And while it’s a little outside of my comfort
Discussion: W/SW upper-level flow continues to tap a very hot air mass in the C US with periodic injections of humid air mass from the Gulf of Mexico. The flow is supported by general Bermuda high circulation. This has New
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