Tropical Storm Erika remains weak in the NE Caribbean Sea. She will battle a strong upper-level wind shear environment over the next 24-36 hours as well as possibly the higher elevations of Hispaniola. This should keep her weak despite healthy
Erika has slightly intensified overnight and this morning. The big question is “How will this impact the US east coast?” Well, the Bahamas and Florida, as stated yesterday, should begin taking Erika seriously. We’re still a ways out and model guidance
Invest 98L has evolved into Tropical Storm Erica who presents a much more realistic threat to the east coast than Danny ever did. She has less (but some) shear to deal with but once into the Bahamas, she could intensify into
Danny has sheared apart into tropical remnants which verified the most-likely scenario. Remnants however will continue to impact the NE Caribbean with rainfall and only light-to-moderate tropical winds. The only thing worth watching is if such tropical remnants re-intensify “if”
Danny has been weakening over the last 24-36 hours due to an unfavorable upper level environment of wind shear and dry air. He will continue to weaken in tropical cyclone intensity but should still bring widespread heavy rainfall to the
Hurricane Danny has intensified. He has been able to stay just south of inhibitive factors such as dry Saharan air/dust, and wind shear. He could possibly intensify further but eventually, he’s going to have to cross a strong wind shear
Hurricane Danny, per latest data, has intensified down to a 992mb low pressure center. Sustained max winds are now up to 75mph. He is currently moving towards the NE region of the Caribbean as most model guidance suggested over the last 48-72
Tropical Storm Danny is currently located at 11.3N 40.2W and heading in the general direction of the NE Caribbean region (~Northern Lesser Antilles). He should intensify into a hurricane by no later than tomorrow evening but possibly as early as overnight
Invest 96L will continue to cross the Atlantic Ocean from where it originated SW of the Cape Verde region towards the Lesser Antilles. It’s current heading is W/NW at 10-15mph and is showing signs of organization per the NWS National
The National Weather Service National Hurricane Center (NWS NHC) is currently investigating a tropical wave that originated near the Cape Verde region off western Africa: Here’s the tropical spaghetti plot, courtesy of WeatherBell Analytics: I’ll be closely monitoring the progress
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