Discussion: Tropical Storm ZETA should intensify into a hurricane by tomorrow (Wednesday) morning before making landfall later tomorrow evening in the coastal Louisiana area. After that, ZETA will quickly lose it’s tropical characteristics and transition into a mid-latitude cyclone while
Discussion: Nothing remarkably anomalous in the upper-levels (jet or geo heights). The current disturbance will continue to bring rain Sunday overnight into Monday morning. SENJ seeing more moisture than NWNJ. Tuesday and Wednesday look the least wet this week but
Discussion: Hurricane Epsilon is currently churning in the Atlantic Ocean just to the E of Bermuda. It presents no threat to the US east coast aside from some far-reaching coastal rip currents. The most significant player for our region, in
Discussion: The upper jet should stay to the N of NJ this week with positive 500mb geopotential anomalies in place through the weekend. This should keep conditions dry with above average temperatures through at least Saturday. Thursday looks like the
Discussion: An upper-level trough will swing through the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US this weekend. On Friday there should be enough divergence aloft correlating with an area of positive vorticity advection to power a weak coastal low at the surface. This
Discussion: The upper levels appear very zonal for this week. Once the rainy remnants of Delta clear out by Tuesday afternoon (Sunday night through Tuesday morning are wet and breezy), Wednesday and Thursday look seasonably mild and rather uneventful. On
Discussion: It looks like tonight will be another cold one as high pressure remains to our immediate W—delivering N/NW anti-cyclonic flow into the coldest part of the overnight (Friday AM). The high should move offshore by Saturday, reversing the flow
Discussion: A weak and transient ridge should build over the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US between Monday and Wednesday. This should produce milder temperatures at the surface with light SW winds. A cold front is then expected to pass through later
Discussion: The upper pattern looks very meridional in foreseeable model guidance. While nothing specific is currently showing, I’d be surprised if a synoptic scale system didn’t materialize for the Mid-Atlantic US, whether just a baby coastal low or stronger nor’easter.
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