Discussion: I wanted to discuss tonight’s coastal storm in more detail as it deserves its own article. In the upper levels we have an approaching negative-tilted trough. This 1) provides the cold air and 2) provides upper dynamics to intensify
Discussion: A trough will swing through between Monday and Tuesday. It will drive a surface low to track along the SENJ coast, bringing synoptic rain and wind to NJ Monday PM into Tuesday AM. The trough then swings out and
Discussion: There’s not much to speak about in the upper levels other than a semi-zonal pattern of baby troughs and ridges kissing the Mid-Atlantic. The deepest trough is Sunday-Wednesday which should produce cooler conditions at the surface (highs in the
Discussion: The upper-level trough/low have departed and we’ll now be ridged-in until early Friday morning. This means a more expansive lower troposphere and generally milder conditions. Today felt great after recent times but the really good stuff starts tomorrow. While
Discussion: An upper-level trough/low will dominate the weather pattern this weekend. The bright higher-angle April sun will reach the ground but under a condensed (heights-wise) environment with low pressure aloft. This arrangement/mechanism can provide adequate lift and saturation at lower
Discussion: The system that brought rain and wind last night through this morning is well offshore. We now turn W to an approaching cold front that’s still attached to an occluding low over the great lakes. This front should slowly
Discussion: Today should remain mostly cloudy with periods of light rain possible. Today rain chances increase some between afternoon and evening and then significantly between evening and overnight/tomorrow morning. A synoptic surface low, associated with a leading upper-level disturbance, should
Discussion: The pattern from now through about April 12 looks very similar due to a stubborn jet pattern with an active stream of disturbances. This should force a trough pattern for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic US keeping temperatures slightly below-average
Discussion: The warm front is well through and you should now be feeling the ripping warm sector out of the S/SW. As a quick refresher, the Norwegian Cyclone Model is the standard meteorological model for synoptic-scale mid-latitude cyclones, like the
Discussion: The warm front is just about through. We’ll cool some tonight but it won’t be like the last few nights. Tomorrow looks very mild with temps likely reaching 70 or greater for most areas. Skies should be mixed with
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