Discussion: Fiona is now in the trough capture process and will deliver a extratropical superstorm to the Nova Scotia/Newfoundland region of the western N Atlantic. New Jersey has always been far-removed from direct Fiona impacts outside of enhanced surf and
Discussion: Well, it’s right smack in the middle of peak hurricane season and the Atlantic Hurricane basin is active. Up until now, an otherwise quiet tropical cyclone season for the US east coast and Gulf of Mexico interests. First let’s
Discussion: The upper levels will remain zonal through Wednesday of this week. Starting Thursday, the upper levels become interesting as an approaching trough will likely capture Fiona and deliver a Sandy-like situation somewhere between Scandinavia and Nova Scotia. New Jersey
Discussion: We’ll be between a split upper-jet pattern this weekend. Zonal flow with average geopotential heights. Nothing really worth noting in the upper levels. At the lower levels, we have high pressure crossing over New England from Canada to the
Discussion: The gloomy and muggy theme should continue into Tuesday thanks to a warm sector giving way to a cold front. Monday into Tuesday have a good chance for rain and storms given the upper level dynamics. Starting Tuesday night,
Discussion: We’re stuck at the N top of a steep east coast ridge Friday and Saturday before giving way to a phasing trough in Canada with lower heights for Sunday night into Wednesday. Higher heights and NW upper-level flow return
Discussion: I’m not seeing any upper-level features that stand out either this week or this coming weekend. Most New Jersey weather will be driven by nearby highs and lows and their respective positioning/flow. In the immediate time frame (Monday night
Discussion: A broad area of high pressure will control New Jersey and surrounding areas this weekend. Basically a high pressure cycle. Cool and dry winds out of the N as the high approaches (now through Friday AM). Warm and tranquil
Discussion: The stormfront and cold front keep pushing forward in time. When I first started to look at this last week (See Aug 26 weekend outlook), the timing was modeled as more of a Wednesday night into Thursday morning thing.
Discussion: Just wanted to focus in on some more details for this week. Today (Monday) and tomorrow (Tuesday) still look to feature the immediate warm sector leading up to a cold front. That means today and tomorrow will remain warm
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