Colder Week Expected
Discussion: We’re still kind of dealing with the low that occluded off the jet/front from last week. This low is currently stacking with an upper low over/just N of the Great Lakes. It’s going to meander around in this area
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Another Mostly Nice Weekend
Discussion: Yesterday’s frontal precipitation and storms came through ahead of the overnight cold front which is now out to sea. A few surprise downpours/storms for ECNJ/SENJ earlier in the day from some warm sector isolated cells. But the front itself
Thursday Night Stormfront
Discussion: My focus for the last few days has been on the developing Canadian ridge block that should flex, from Newfoundland to the Davis Strait area, between Thursday and Friday. This now seems a little more pronounced on the guidance
Mostly Nice
Discussion: The upper-levels appear to support a colder pattern for the foreseeable near-future. The upper jet should be positioned S of NJ around a series of troughs expected to swing through before returning to a zonal pattern next week. Geopotential
A Gorgeous Fall Weekend Expected
Discussion: A mostly dry cold front (showers possible) will push through overnight tonight (Friday into Saturday) and reset our feel back to October/fall. The weekend looks bone dry with chilly daytime temperatures and colder overnight temperatures all with very low
Coastal Storm Departs
Discussion: The upper low that got caught beneath the ridge for the past few days is finally starting to pull away. This will place the western side of the cyclonic steering flow from the upper low over the surface low
Coastal Storm Intensifying for New Jersey
Discussion: I’m seeing some intense coastal flooding images coming in from locations like LBI, Brigantine, etc. It’s not good considering high tide is approaching and these new rain bands will have nowhere to drain. It looks like there will be
Rough Start. Improvement in Sight.
Discussion: Ian’s span of impact is incredible. From the Caribbean, through Cuba, through Florida, into South Carolina, interior SE US, etc. And now, it’s going to fart kick us as it heads away from the east coast. As I discussed
Ian’s Remnants to form Coastal Storm
Discussion: The upper jet, observed at 250mb, is departing away from the NE US (to the E). The upper-level low energy associated with Ian’s remnants will now hang back and sit over the coastal Mid-Atlantic US until about Wednesday before
Ian’s Remnants Approaching New Jersey
Discussion: This weekend’s outlook is going to stay in the form of a discussion article since conditions will be mostly determined by Ian’s remnants. Ian made a second landfall today in coastal SC (N of Charlston S of Myrtle Beach)
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