Discussion: There’s a tremendous amount of model disagreement with now less than 24 hours before the start of precipitation. Most of it revolves around how far SE the extent of snow will be in New Jersey. The overall consensus is
Discussion: This article will first cover the Wednesday-Thursday snow-to-rain event before we dive into some near-future signals I’m seeing. What we have been referring to as storm 1 arrived yesterday (as snow for NWNJ), precipitated overnight as mostly rain, and
Discussion: The weak low associated with last night-this morning’s precipitation is now E of NJ. Winds have now become northerly for most of NJ and temperatures have dropped enough to return some areas that started wintry and changed to rain,
Discussion: A cold front passed through today but prior to peak afternoon solar heating. That allowed most of NJ to rise into the 40s even near-50. Temperatures and humidity will drop with sundown this evening and yield a colder Friday
Discussion: Some light rain is around today along a very weak front attached to a very weak low currently fizzling over the E Great Lakes. This is already on it’s way out and should clear for tonight’s overnight hours (Tuesday).
Discussion: First let’s talk about tonight. Temps should hold on the milder side and fail to dip below 45 or so. The primary low will generally track along/just NW of the Appalachian Mountains across parts of SE Ohio, W PA,
Discussion: Our weak wave has departed and we’ll now have fairly tranquil conditions through at least Thursday morning. A low pressure system is then expected to track from the central plains into the E Great Lakes area around Friday morning
Discussion: Tonight, we’ll finally dip back into the low-30s for most areas, some below-freezing. It’s been a while (since right after Christmas) that we’ve seen such but it will feel more like winter and less like spring. We can thank
Discussion: Not much has changed. We still have a raging jet off the Pacific into the W US which is keeping the Arctic cold, to the N, from dropping down and influencing the lower-48. Therefore, we’re stuck with air mass
Discussion: The well-above average temperatures should continue this week as warm air continues to pump into the W US off the extremely zonal Pacific jet. This has been warming the entire US and inhibiting Arctic air from spilling down into
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