Back to homepage

Latest NJ Weather Alerts

Storm Begins for Jersey

Storm Begins for Jersey

🕔11:14, 10.Dec 2023

Discussion: The colder trend came to an end on overnight ultra short-range model guidance. Therefore, expectations of how much snow could fall in New Jersey Monday morning are becoming confident. But there’s more to this storm to talk about. To

Read Full Article
Monitoring Messy Monday Morning

Monitoring Messy Monday Morning

🕔22:14, 9.Dec 2023

Discussion: I’ve been watching model guidance trend colder and colder, for this coming Sunday PM-Monday AM storm system, so it’s time for an update. Up until today, the data suggested a mostly rain system for New Jersey. This was because

Read Full Article
Dry and Mild leads to Stormy then Colder

Dry and Mild leads to Stormy then Colder

🕔14:35, 8.Dec 2023

Discussion: A decent transition from dry and mild to stormy and cold will take place between now and Monday. Weekend conditions will initially be dominated by a ridge covering most of the E US (northern 2/3). This makes the forecast

Read Full Article
Snow is Approaching!

Snow is Approaching!

🕔17:26, 6.Dec 2023

Discussion: First, I must apologize. I just got home from a work trip and I am a bit out of sorts from being unable to stay connected to the latest model guidance and live observations. But here we are now

Read Full Article
Colder Air Briefly Returns

Colder Air Briefly Returns

🕔14:38, 3.Dec 2023

Discussion: A ridge is currently (as of Sunday afternoon) departing the E US. With it will go our above-average temperatures and the series of disturbances that brought rain this past Friday and today (Sunday). The rest of this week should

Read Full Article
Cloudy and Unsettled

Cloudy and Unsettled

🕔14:41, 1.Dec 2023

Discussion: It’s December 1, the start of meteorological winter. If you follow my baseball-to-winter analogy, the first batter has stepped up to the plate in the first inning. We have a long ballgame to go with the 9th inning ending

Read Full Article
What to Expect this Winter 2023-2024

What to Expect this Winter 2023-2024

🕔17:00, 30.Nov 2023

Forecast Discussion: This is not a winter forecast. I am not going to tell you your fortune in the form of snow inches or ice accumulation between now and late March. Just want to be crystal clear about that. I

Read Full Article
First Snowflakes of the Season for Many

First Snowflakes of the Season for Many

🕔11:08, 28.Nov 2023

Forecast Discussion: I had a feeling this was likely today, as mentioned in yesterday’s weekly outlook. The coldest air of the season yet is blowing across the southern Great Lakes, picking up moisture via evaporation, and carrying it E/SE to

Read Full Article
First Shot of Winter Cold Arrives

First Shot of Winter Cold Arrives

🕔15:39, 27.Nov 2023

Discussion: I’m seeing mostly an upper level (250mb) converging split flow pattern for the E US this week. At 500mb, most data suggests a trough to start this week that yields to a ridge for this weekend and then back

Read Full Article
Thanksgiving Travel Plan

Thanksgiving Travel Plan

🕔16:47, 20.Nov 2023

Discussion: Not much to deduce from the upper levels as most flow is zonal with alternating height profiles. If you are going to travel this week, it will be dry today through tomorrow afternoon. Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night and

Read Full Article