Jonathan Carr
20:42, 5.Aug 2018
Discussion: The Bermuda high is finally expected to break down this Wednesday. Tomorrow until then looks hot and humid. Thursday and into the weekend should feature lower temperatures and less humidity but still feel warm and summery. The driest days
Jonathan Carr
16:04, 2.Aug 2018
Discussion: Return flow on the back side of the Bermuda high should remain locked through the weekend. This should maintain the status quo of heat, humidity, unsettled conditions and all the fun stuff that comes with a tropical air mass.
Jonathan Carr
12:24, 2.Aug 2018
It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how the rest of August 2018 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ
Jonathan Carr
12:09, 30.Jul 2018
Discussion: The Bermuda high remains locked which is driving our current stubborn pattern of humid and unsettled conditions. We saw some relief yesterday but this week we’re returning right back as the warm front is brought back northward over NJ.
Jonathan Carr
15:18, 27.Jul 2018
Discussion: An upper-level low is tracking from the Great Lakes into SE Canada. This upper-level low is part of a weakening trough but still has enough might to drag a cold front through our region overnight tonight. Perhaps cold front
Jonathan Carr
21:01, 26.Jul 2018
Discussion: The upper-level pattern should remain locked through this weekend and into next week. Trough in the E US and ridge in the W Atlantic. Therefore the southerly meridional jet should persist and keep driving moisture up the east coast.
Jonathan Carr
21:10, 24.Jul 2018
Discussion: The synoptic rain system, that kicked the warm and muggy pattern off this past Saturday, verified W of it’s modeled track. This was the result of more phasing activity between the upper-level low and coastal surface low. While New
Jonathan Carr
17:10, 22.Jul 2018
Discussion: Saturday night’s synoptic rain storm pulled a warm front over New Jersey. This is why it currently feels like a tropical jungle. Dew point temperaturess are well into the 70s which aren’t a whole lot cooler than the actual
Jonathan Carr
09:16, 22.Jul 2018
Discussion: Last night’s synoptic rain storm has passed through and is now absorbing into the upper-level low to our W. This upper-level low will fizzle into nothing as the SW US ridge teams up with the W Atlantic ridge to
Jonathan Carr
10:21, 21.Jul 2018
Discussion: The upper-level low is fully closed off over the S Great Lakes as an overall upper-level negatively-tilted trough interacts with our coastal system. This interaction is slightly stronger in real-time observation than modeled leading into this event. I think
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