Discussion: The Bermuda high remains locked which is driving our current stubborn pattern of humid and unsettled conditions. We saw some relief yesterday but this week we’re returning right back as the warm front is brought back northward over NJ.
Discussion: An upper-level low is tracking from the Great Lakes into SE Canada. This upper-level low is part of a weakening trough but still has enough might to drag a cold front through our region overnight tonight. Perhaps cold front
Discussion: The upper-level pattern should remain locked through this weekend and into next week. Trough in the E US and ridge in the W Atlantic. Therefore the southerly meridional jet should persist and keep driving moisture up the east coast.
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Discussion: The synoptic rain system, that kicked the warm and muggy pattern off this past Saturday, verified W of it’s modeled track. This was the result of more phasing activity between the upper-level low and coastal surface low. While New
Discussion: Saturday night’s synoptic rain storm pulled a warm front over New Jersey. This is why it currently feels like a tropical jungle. Dew point temperaturess are well into the 70s which aren’t a whole lot cooler than the actual
Discussion: Last night’s synoptic rain storm has passed through and is now absorbing into the upper-level low to our W. This upper-level low will fizzle into nothing as the SW US ridge teams up with the W Atlantic ridge to
Discussion: The upper-level low is fully closed off over the S Great Lakes as an overall upper-level negatively-tilted trough interacts with our coastal system. This interaction is slightly stronger in real-time observation than modeled leading into this event. I think
Discussion: An upper level low will track from the northern plains to the KY/TN area over the weekend. This upper level energy will interact with a coastal low pressure system, currently forming over coastal GA. The surface low should track
Discussion: Today we saw a few pop-up downpours and storms mostly triggered by the sea breeze front. Always fun to see a sea breeze front make it that far inland. We’re still in the warm sector however (not much humidity
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