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Mixed and Unsettled Conditions

Mixed and Unsettled Conditions

🕔14:13, 9.May 2024

Discussion: Let’s get the rant out of the way first. I, like many of you, are frustrated with the great sunny mid-week days and chillier rainy weekends. I realize not everyone else works M-F (some work weekends and even 7

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Tracking Thunderstorms

Tracking Thunderstorms

🕔15:00, 7.May 2024

Discussion: The rest of today (Tuesday) should remain nice however tomorrow (Wednesday) and Thursday are being targeted by showers and thunderstorms. I don’t think we’re looking at a severe outbreak but at least a “it’s warm season thunderstorm time” feel

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Unsettled and Mild

Unsettled and Mild

🕔13:18, 6.May 2024

Discussion: A shallow split flow pattern is happening across the continental US through this week and weekend, seen from 250mb analysis. The separate streams are only about 1000 miles apart from California through the Central US before interacting closer for

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Wet and Chilly

Wet and Chilly

🕔15:49, 3.May 2024

Discussion: A ridge will remain in place over the E US for most of this weekend. High pressure on the front of that ridge will park and meander over the NE US through Saturday before then tracking southward towards Bermuda

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New Jersey Embraces the Warmth

New Jersey Embraces the Warmth

🕔14:22, 29.Apr 2024

Discussion: We’ve finally turned the corner towards the warmer months of the year. I can handle a cold March but a cold April chaps my posterior. For much of April, either onshore flow (45-55F) or N/NW flow (even chillier) has

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Less than 48 Hours Until Warmth

Less than 48 Hours Until Warmth

🕔16:25, 26.Apr 2024

Discussion: My goodness yesterday was chilly for the time of year. I didn’t make it out of the upper-40s. A few nights just below freezing and even some isolated mixed precip the other morning. Goodbye and good riddance to that

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Possibly the Last Chilly Week

Possibly the Last Chilly Week

🕔16:25, 22.Apr 2024

Discussion: The lower heights will soon move out of NJ. A series of ridging will then build over NJ for much of the foreseeable forecast period (through next weekend). An upper low departs the lower Mid-Atlantic US Mon-Tues. Then a

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Beyond the Gray Sky

Beyond the Gray Sky

🕔15:02, 19.Apr 2024

Discussion: The only upper-level feature jumping out at me is next Wednesday-Thursday in the form of a cut-off low/trough. Otherwise, it looks like a bunch of mundane and zonal flow with slight deviations + and – for height anomalies. For

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Pattern Discussion

Pattern Discussion

🕔15:11, 18.Apr 2024

Discussion: I’ll put the routine weekend outlook out tomorrow but wanted to discuss an early weekend expectation as well as where we’re going in the future. There’s nothing major showing but I’m sensing many of you are becoming curious about

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Amazing Start becomes Meh

Amazing Start becomes Meh

🕔15:27, 15.Apr 2024

Discussion: The upper-levels should stay in a positive anomaly configuration for geopotential heights through this week and weekend. That means we won’t be turning cold. But since the pattern will be slightly zonal, we could turn chilly for a bit.

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