Discussion: When I was younger, before I studied the science of meteorology, I would falsely associate prolonged wind events in the months of spring and fall. I thought these events, for said periods, were the seasons blowing in and out.
Discussion: Current rain is associated with an unorganized area of frontal precipitation stemming ultimately from Tropical Storm Eta departing the coastal SE US area. This should all move out by noon, at the latest, on Friday with high pressure establishing
Discussion: A strong E US ridge should continue to dominate the pattern through Wednesday morning. This obviously keeps the 250mb jet to the N of NJ with warm/mild high pressure-driven surface conditions beneath. The high pressure that brought us beautiful
Discussion: The 250mb jet should remain well to the N of NJ this weekend and part of next week. A 500mb ridge and surface area of high pressure will correlate with this at the levels beneath. This means mild temperatures
Discussion: A meridional dip in the upper jet will dominate the region with a colder pattern from Sunday night (tonight) through Tuesday. We might be looking at the coldest shot of air yet this season. But first let’s talk about
Discussion: Two dips in the jet (troughs) should push through NJ in the near future. One Friday and another Monday-Tuesday. Said days will therefore feel noticeably colder. Between the dips should be some moderation for Saturday and Sunday but still
Discussion: Tropical Storm ZETA should intensify into a hurricane by tomorrow (Wednesday) morning before making landfall later tomorrow evening in the coastal Louisiana area. After that, ZETA will quickly lose it’s tropical characteristics and transition into a mid-latitude cyclone while
Discussion: Nothing remarkably anomalous in the upper-levels (jet or geo heights). The current disturbance will continue to bring rain Sunday overnight into Monday morning. SENJ seeing more moisture than NWNJ. Tuesday and Wednesday look the least wet this week but
Discussion: Hurricane Epsilon is currently churning in the Atlantic Ocean just to the E of Bermuda. It presents no threat to the US east coast aside from some far-reaching coastal rip currents. The most significant player for our region, in
Discussion: The upper jet should stay to the N of NJ this week with positive 500mb geopotential anomalies in place through the weekend. This should keep conditions dry with above average temperatures through at least Saturday. Thursday looks like the
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