Discussion: Hurricane Epsilon is currently churning in the Atlantic Ocean just to the E of Bermuda. It presents no threat to the US east coast aside from some far-reaching coastal rip currents. The most significant player for our region, in
Discussion: The upper jet should stay to the N of NJ this week with positive 500mb geopotential anomalies in place through the weekend. This should keep conditions dry with above average temperatures through at least Saturday. Thursday looks like the
Discussion: An upper-level trough will swing through the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US this weekend. On Friday there should be enough divergence aloft correlating with an area of positive vorticity advection to power a weak coastal low at the surface. This
Discussion: The upper levels appear very zonal for this week. Once the rainy remnants of Delta clear out by Tuesday afternoon (Sunday night through Tuesday morning are wet and breezy), Wednesday and Thursday look seasonably mild and rather uneventful. On
Discussion: It looks like tonight will be another cold one as high pressure remains to our immediate W—delivering N/NW anti-cyclonic flow into the coldest part of the overnight (Friday AM). The high should move offshore by Saturday, reversing the flow
Discussion: A weak and transient ridge should build over the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US between Monday and Wednesday. This should produce milder temperatures at the surface with light SW winds. A cold front is then expected to pass through later
Discussion: The upper pattern looks very meridional in foreseeable model guidance. While nothing specific is currently showing, I’d be surprised if a synoptic scale system didn’t materialize for the Mid-Atlantic US, whether just a baby coastal low or stronger nor’easter.
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Discussion: For the next few days we’ll be stuck in a warm sector formed by high pressure out in the Atlantic and the approaching trough. The high will kick in warm and humid return flow. The front of the trough
Discussion: For this weekend there’s not much to speak of other than a weakening upper-level disturbance floating through the return flow of departing high pressure. For these reasons, Saturday and Sunday could feature some very isolated rain showers but not
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