Jonathan Carr
13:18, 10.Dec 2024
Discussion: We have an interesting 24-36 hours ahead of us in NJ. Though it’s not accumulating snow (what many of you want to hear), there are still going to be some weather safety hazards worth considering for travel and preparation.
Jonathan Carr
15:27, 9.Dec 2024
Discussion: A negatively tilted trough is expected to enhance a surface low and bring a decent amount of rainfall to NJ this week. The primary low is currently over the Great Lakes and has sent a warm front through from
Jonathan Carr
15:54, 6.Dec 2024
Discussion: The weekend is here but first, let’s recap. It’s still technically calendar Fall for 15 days (until Dec 21). We’re only 6 days into meteorological winter. Ocean sea surface temperatures off NJ are in the mid-40s. Unless a freak
Jonathan Carr
15:37, 3.Dec 2024
Discussion: A clipper system is called a clipper, mainly an Alberta Clipper because the low originates in the Alberta province of Canada and tracks into/towards the Mid-Atlantic US on the norther colder stream. Typically, a clipper is moisture-starved because there
Jonathan Carr
13:42, 2.Dec 2024
Discussion: The upper jet (analyzed at 250mb) remains to the S of NJ as we freeze inside of a trough. The polar and pacific jets will be coupling by Wednesday which will help drive the expected clipper system Wednesday night
Jonathan Carr
13:57, 27.Nov 2024
Discussion: Another round of beneficial rainfall is approaching New Jersey for Thanksgiving Day. Areas N of I-80/NW of I-287, mainly Sussex and N Warren Counties are subject to more snowfall but nowhere near the accumulations that fell and stuck last
Jonathan Carr
15:03, 25.Nov 2024
Discussion: The upper-jet is expected to dip to the S of NJ once the Tuesday system is through. There it will stay until well into December. Height, analyzed at 500mb, suggests a period of troughing beginning this weekend that should
Jonathan Carr
14:51, 22.Nov 2024
Discussion: Last night into this morning was a solid kick-off for snow season. I know that only NWNJ elevations (especially Sparta through Vernon) saw snow accumulations with the majority of NJ (lower 2/3) just seeing rain with a few flurries/snow
Jonathan Carr
14:16, 21.Nov 2024
Discussion: The initial rainfall portion of this system fell between last night and this morning. The occluded front was enough to spark some lightning along a linear stormfront before the precipitation flattened out to a broader slug of rain. It
Jonathan Carr
16:55, 20.Nov 2024
Discussion: First, let’s level some expectations. The snow potential for tomorrow (Thursday) into Friday is not a big deal. Given the time of year and surface temperature profile, it will be hard for significant accumulations to stack up outside of
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