Far from a Washout
Discussion: Real quick, today’s (Thursday) highs peaked in the 70s but areas SE of I-95/NJTP saw higher levels of humidity than areas NW of such. The recently established onshore flow (High in Gulf of Maine + Low SW of Bermuda)
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Amazing Conditions this Week. Unsettled Weekend?
Discussion: One upper-level feature to note from 250mb wind analysis is a strong coupled upper jet over NJ in the Saturday-Sunday period later this week. This could enhance the expected rainfall in that time frame. This idea aligns with the
Unsettled Conditions Usher in Fall Feel
Discussion: This weekend, a decaying ridge over the E US will give way to the bottom/backside of a trough. This will change the upper flow from a warm and humid S/SW source to a dry and comfortable/chilly at night N/NW
Mixed Conditions Expected
Discussion: I’m seeing mostly ridging this week over the E US including NJ. This will allow temps and humidity to build today and especially tomorrow before a stormfront pushes through from N to S, driven by high pressure to our
Great Conditions. Humidity Returns by Monday.
Discussion: The E side of a ridge will hold our pleasant feel in place a little longer but as the E side of a trough approaches, humidity will gradually build between Friday and Sunday night—setting the stage for a humid
Storms Usher in the Goodness Again
Discussion: I can feel summer starting to slip away. Later sunrises. Earlier sunsets. Warmer onshore flow. Different shadows throughout the day from a lower sun-angle. It’s all there as I’ve experienced and mentally logged for decades. Soon (September), we’ll be
Awesome Conditions Continue
Discussion: For this week, we’ll be under lower geopotential heights. The trough (#1) that moved into place Saturday, eventually bringing the cooler and drier air for Sunday, is slowly departing with another trough (#2) forming and moving in right behind.
Phenomenal Conditions Expected
Discussion: Before we talk about Debby remnants today, a reminder that the most beautiful weekend of the summer starts in about 18-24 hours. Reasonably warm temperatures, sunny skies, refreshing breeze, and low humidity. It’s going to feel magical as reflected
Tropical Remnants Approaching
Discussion: Let’s first realize that we’re only 36 hours from the most immaculate summer weather possible. When a tropical system moves through our region, they tend to scoop up and carry away regional humidity, leaving extra-dry, sunny, and comfortable feel
Tropical Remnants Detected!
Discussion: The Canadian trough that pushed the frontal boundary over NJ from N to S is now clearing away to the E into the N Atlantic Ocean. The frontal boundary is currently (as of noon Wednesday) draped across Cape May,
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