Discussion: Real quick, tonight looks to remain cold, dry, and breezy/gusty out of the W/NW. Expect temperatures to bottom out in the teens/20s tomorrow (Saturday morning) just before sunrise. A high is approaching. We have the colder front-side flow of
Discussion: Our snowstorm is approaching New Jersey and will soon be here. As we’ve always been advertising, this is a quick mover with no blocking to slow it down. However, we have some powerful upper and mid-level dynamics that should
Discussion: The data continues to point towards a significant snow storm in New Jersey SE of the NJTP/I-95 corridor. Even though this system is still capable of delivering more of a widespread/statewide snowfall, amounts NW of the corridor look light.
Discussion: I’ve taken the KABOOM profile pic (white circle) down, For many new faces, KABOOM is the term I like to use when 12 inches of snow happen in any part of NJ. Sometimes it’s confined to either NNJ, CNJ,
Discussion: As today’s SNJ system departs further into the Atlantic Ocean, another system is moving onshore in the NW US off the Pacific. Over the next 3 days, this energy should travel across the US and pick up energy from
Discussion: To review, our mild and rainy period is coming to an end today/tonight. The low-pressure series that brought us our rain these last few days is pulling away and will drop temperatures overnight tonight with back-side cyclonic flow out
Discussion: I wanted to wait until the 00Z NAM run tonight (just ran) before putting out today’s article. And I’m glad I did. The GFS has always led the way with this system as the most aggressive (snowiest outcome) model.
Discussion: As far as this weekend goes, we still look mild and rainy in New Jersey…tonight (Friday night – New Years Eve) through Sunday night. For Saturday and Sunday, afternoon temps should range from lower-50s to upper-50s from NWNJ elevations
Discussion: The chances for snow in New Jersey on Monday continue to increase. I’ve been interested in this synoptic signal for some time now, specifically the modeled teleconnections (NAO, AO, and PNA). The NAO and AO are modeled to sharply
Discussion: Conditions should remain mundane (for December) through this weekend. Above-average temperatures and wet at times. 250mb jet analysis indicates a very zonal patten across the US meaning flat and lateral. This allows some weak surface lows to track W
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