Discussion: Much of our next two weeks should occur under a zonal upper-level flow with positive height anomalies. High pressure should set up near Bermuda and pump SW flow into NJ Monday-Wednesday. That should take most into the 60s maybe
Discussion: A late-winter deep trough is forming for the weekend. On the front of it, a deepening surface low should bring a heavy rain to heavy snow event to New Jersey tomorrow (Saturday) due to enhanced frontogenic forcing occurring along/over
Discussion: This might be one of, if not thee, last snow storms of the season to close out Winter 2021-2022. We’re looking at two pieces of energy, one down from Canada and the other across the US from SW US.
Discussion: Last night’s cold front has blown through and we’re now cooler. We’ll drop to the 32-40 range overnight tonight (from NNJ to SNJ) as precipitation approaches and fills in statewide by daybreak Wednesday. We have a classic March snow
Discussion: Obviously, today is mild. We’re in the warm sector and a cold front is approaching. The front should push a thin line or two of downpours, gusty winds, and possibly thunderstorms this evening/tonight from W/NW to E/SE. The actual
Discussion: High pressure should control most of the weekend as it tracks from the Northern-Central US through the Mid-Atlantic US. Friday will be the coldest day with N winds in front of the high. Saturday a step-up day as winds
Discussion: A few weak N stream waves will track to our N this week with precipitation dissolving pretty much overhead. I suppose anything from flurries to snow showers are possible before it vanishes completely but it would need to fall
Discussion: A winter storm is brewing for New Jersey but snow accumulations are not the headline. Parts of NNJ might see some snow to start but the primary safety concern is ice in the form of sleet and/or freezing rain.
Discussion: Models are gaining confidence on the idea of the W US trough weakening and tracking E through the Great Lakes/New England regions between Wednesday and Saturday. This would create an environment for a weak and flat surface low to
Discussion: The upper level jet will stay to the N of NJ for most of this week with the Mid-Atlantic US under positive 500mb height anomalies. That’s a recipe for above-average temperatures and we’ll stay mild through Wednesday. I hope
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