Discussion: The stormfront and cold front keep pushing forward in time. When I first started to look at this last week (See Aug 26 weekend outlook), the timing was modeled as more of a Wednesday night into Thursday morning thing.
Discussion: Just wanted to focus in on some more details for this week. Today (Monday) and tomorrow (Tuesday) still look to feature the immediate warm sector leading up to a cold front. That means today and tomorrow will remain warm
Discussion: Most of NJ is mixed with sun and clouds with a dank feel today. Some near-stationary downpours and thunderstorms started this morning in Ocean County and have since (as of Sunday afternoon) spread further into SNJ/SWNJ. These cells are
Discussion: It looks like the upper jet will stay N of NJ until later next week. The tip of a weak trough to our N will allow a drier Friday night into Saturday morning. As a surface low moves out
Discussion: For the immediate future we’ll generally stay warm, humid, and slightly unsettled through about Wednesday of next week. Model consensus has consistently suggested a break in the pattern starting next Thursday which would produce stellar conditions for Labor Day
Discussion: A disturbance is rotating through, mainly drive by a low tracking through NY State and some lowering pressure just offshore of NJ. This provided enough lift for overnight thunderstorms and will continue to do so until Tuesday. By Tuesday
Discussion: The upper-jet looks mostly over NJ this weekend before it fizzles out and reestablishes to the N of NJ next week. Heights and flow look zonal in the upper levels which means rather uneventful conditions for the near future.
Discussion: The upper-jet has dipped S of NJ and might stay this way until about Saturday night. This will keep NJ in an area of lower geopotential heights until the jet returns northward by Sunday. We’ll have a more organized
Discussion: Today’s (Thursday) temperatures should max in the 80s, maybe some approaching 90, with a continued humid feel. Showers are possible here and there, much like a tropical environment, but the true relief starts tomorrow (Friday). There might be some
Discussion: Most of NJ is nearing 90 if not just over. Immediate ECNJ/SENJ coastal areas are ranging 70-80 with 80s just inland. Seeing some sea breeze front induced storm cells popping in coastal N Ocean County. Can probably expect this
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