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Mild Week Leads to Colder Weekend

Mild Week Leads to Colder Weekend

🕔16:10, 3.Jan 2023

Discussion: The well-above average temperatures should continue this week as warm air continues to pump into the W US off the extremely zonal Pacific jet. This has been warming the entire US and inhibiting Arctic air from spilling down into

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Mixed Conditions to Start 2023

Mixed Conditions to Start 2023

🕔17:41, 31.Dec 2022

Discussion: I’d like to wrap up 2022 here at Weather NJ by wishing everyone a Happy New Year and discussing some future ideas for our weather pattern! Another trip around the sun in Jersey! We started the year in January

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Warmer Pattern Sets Up

Warmer Pattern Sets Up Updated

🕔09:00, 28.Dec 2022

Discussion: I’m seeing a lot of ridging (see above image) building over the NE US for the next few weeks. This spells a warm pattern that could carry through the first third to half of January 2023. At the lower

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Christmas Weather Outlook

Christmas Weather Outlook

🕔14:35, 24.Dec 2022

Discussion: First and foremost, a Merry Christmas from our family to yours. If you celebrate something else, then happy that! And if you celebrate nothing at all, then I hope you had a great solstice and kick-off to winter. I

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Strong Storm has Arrived

Strong Storm has Arrived

🕔16:01, 22.Dec 2022

Discussion: Well, it’s pretty much go time for this much-anticipated strong storm and its New Jersey impacts. Precipitation has moved in and with the exception of the highest NWNJ elevations, has become rain for most/all of New Jersey. The Arctic

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Strong Storm/Arctic Front Developing

Strong Storm/Arctic Front Developing Updated

🕔16:58, 21.Dec 2022

Discussion: Right now (today – Wednesday) we have positive height anomalies overhead of the US east coast. This is because the SE Atlantic Ridge was allowed to build for the E US due to the upstream +PNA ridge being a

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Strong Storm Detected for Thurs-Fri

Strong Storm Detected for Thurs-Fri

🕔16:05, 19.Dec 2022

Discussion: The expected storm system for this Thursday-Friday might not satisfy the snow lover with deep accumulations. But there are some powerful dynamics involved which could still produce hazardous conditions for holiday travel. Again, we’re chilly but not too cold

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Pre-Christmas Storm Update

Pre-Christmas Storm Update

🕔23:53, 18.Dec 2022

Discussion: I wanted to give it through 00Z model data tonight, at least to the GFS run, to confirm the trend that has occurred this weekend and what it means for the December 22-24 storm signal. It’s bad news for

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Colder and Drier. Watching Next Week.

Colder and Drier. Watching Next Week.

🕔16:08, 16.Dec 2022

Discussion: The current system is pulling away to the NE. Behind it, we’re left with colder and drier W/NW flow at the surface (NW flow aloft). The temp and dew point should peel away from each other with a significantly

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White Christmas Storm Signal

White Christmas Storm Signal

🕔15:28, 15.Dec 2022

Discussion: The current system today should begin tapering off for SNJ after midnight tonight. It will continue to taper from SW to NE and will take longer for CNJ and then ultimately NNJ by later tomorrow. Most areas should clear

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