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Winter Tries to Flex

Winter Tries to Flex

🕔12:49, 24.Feb 2023

Discussion: As the worst winter (snow-wise) since 2011-2012 begins to sunset, it might try to remind us that we are indeed still in the season of winter. Sun angle is climbing higher each day. Climatology is now stacked against daytime

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More Volatile Conditions Expected

More Volatile Conditions Expected

🕔09:00, 21.Feb 2023

Discussion: Some rain moved through last night and scraped extreme NNJ with some wintry precip. No big deal. We’ll see another round of showers this afternoon preceding a weak cold front (really just a sinking boundary). We’ll then warm up

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Brief Cold. Mild Conditions Return

Brief Cold. Mild Conditions Return

🕔11:11, 17.Feb 2023

Discussion: Real quick, rain is departing to the E over the ocean and a cold front is moving in to drop temperatures for this afternoon through tomorrow night. By Sunday, the mild conditions will return and stick around until about

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Mild Week Sets up Transient Cold Weekend

Mild Week Sets up Transient Cold Weekend

🕔13:18, 13.Feb 2023

Discussion: Our coastal storm cleared out earlier this morning but the back-side cold has not yet arrived. Remember this coastal storm was a small area of colder air within an overall/regional warm air mass. So as soon as we popped

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Coastal Storm Developing for Sunday Night

Coastal Storm Developing for Sunday Night

🕔15:42, 10.Feb 2023

Discussion: In the next 12 hours or so, the Upper-Level Low (ULL) should close off over E TX and begin moving towards the S Mid-Atlantic/SE US area. There’s already convection firing in the N Gulf of Mexico which will enhance

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Coastal Storm Detected

Coastal Storm Detected

🕔15:18, 9.Feb 2023

Discussion: A coastal storm will develop and impact parts of New Jersey later this weekend, mainly areas along and SE of the I-95 corridor with rain and wind. An Upper-Level Low (ULL) will break off from a very positive-tilted  Midwest

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Mostly Milder Conditions

Mostly Milder Conditions

🕔16:00, 6.Feb 2023

Discussion: We currently have a rather large and powerful (979mb) offshore storm tracking E away from the Mid-Atlantic US. This system represents the Feb 6-8 signal that we casually tracked for about a week, ultimately determining a miss out-to-sea. Had

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Arctic Air Approaching

Arctic Air Approaching

🕔14:38, 2.Feb 2023

Discussion: So we’ve been in first gear of the cold that started earlier this week and allowed some light snow across NJ, mainly CNJ/SNJ, yesterday morning. At some point between late tonight and tomorrow morning, we’ll shift into a whole

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Light Snow Approaching/Developing

Light Snow Approaching/Developing

🕔16:17, 31.Jan 2023

Discussion: The boundary, separating colder temps to the N and milder temps to the S is slowly pushing through NJ and should come to a rest just S/SE of NJ by later tonight. Temps should fall with sundown and the

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Arctic Air Returns Briefly

Arctic Air Returns Briefly

🕔14:30, 30.Jan 2023

Discussion: The weather pattern for the next 7 or so days will be dominated by two features. One is a piece of the Tropospheric Polar Vortex (TPV). The other is a frontal boundary that will act as a storm track

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