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Discussion: High pressure over the E US is drifting eastward out to sea. Behind that, the upper jet is going to set up way N and over NJ (into Canada) forming an E US ridge that should dominate the weather
Discussion: As expected, today is the warmest day of the week. We have high pressure near Bermuda pumping return flow into New Jersey from the S/SW. And we have an approaching cold front attached to a low tracking through SE
Discussion: That was a rough Saturday. I didn’t like the feel of it all day. The clearing we had between rain ending late-morning and the storms arriving early-evening felt uncomfortably mild and destabilized. It allowed the sun to heat the
Discussion: A very temporary ridge is currently over the E US correlating with S/SW flow at the lower levels. That’s why much of NJ is still in the 50s at 11pm. Some even in the lower-60s. It’s going to remain
Discussion: High pressure will cross over NJ from NW to SE between today (Thursday) and tomorrow morning (Friday). Today/tonight’s chillier conditions are owed to the high’s front-side flow/northerly winds. Temps will hit their bottom tomorrow morning around 6am then rapidly
Discussion: New Jersey will stay under below-average height anomalies until about Thursday night (lower heights). This will allow for a cooler stretch (highs only reach lower-50s and drop into 30s at night – coldest day Thursday). A weak and unorganized
Discussion: The 250mb jet wants to stay N of NJ for the near-future with the exception of a small dip mid-next week. We’ll talk about that later. That should keep geopotential heights neutral or higher than average (weak ridging) with
Discussion: It looks like the upper-jet should push N of NJ from now through Saturday and establish a weak but unsettled E US ridge. High pressure, to the N of Bermuda, will track eastward today and tomorrow as a low
Discussion: The upper jet (250mb) should rage a bit, from SW to NE, over the Mid-Atlantic US this weekend. 500mb analysis indicates a deep upper-low tracking from the Great Lakes into SE Canada but in a very progressive trough with
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