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Humid and Unsettled Conditions Expected

Humid and Unsettled Conditions Expected

🕔14:37, 7.Jul 2023

Discussion: This weekend, we’ll be on the front side of two troughs missing a phase. This will result in SW flow at multiple layers, primarily aloft. Surface flow will be more S or SE. This is a recipe for very

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Hotter Humid Pattern Sustains

Hotter Humid Pattern Sustains

🕔17:43, 5.Jul 2023

Discussion: Established and prolonged ridging for the E US is still not expected anytime soon. We may see this develop for the second half of July. But for now, we’ll stay in a low-to-average geopotential height field. This basically will

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4th of July Outlook

4th of July Outlook

🕔12:21, 2.Jul 2023

Discussion: Sorry I am just getting to the weekend update, or what’s left of it. Life has been busy but the most recent outlook seemed to have covered through yesterday just fine. This outlook will cover through Wednesday. The most

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Unsettled Pattern Continues

Unsettled Pattern Continues

🕔12:08, 27.Jun 2023

Discussion: Yesterday was a rough one along and NW of I-95. Areas SE of such saw little-to-nothing. This was mainly due to the best atmospheric dynamics occurring away from the ocean and for points N. SNJ/SENJ also saw a lot

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Thunderstorm Outbreak Expected Tonight

Thunderstorm Outbreak Expected Tonight

🕔09:44, 26.Jun 2023

Discussion: Today should be the stormiest day of this entire rainy and stormy stretch. Much of today will be spent in a warm sector with S flow ahead of a storm front. Isolated-to-scattered storm cells are possible today before the

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Wetter Pattern Sustains

Wetter Pattern Sustains

🕔11:38, 23.Jun 2023

Discussion: The only upper-level feature that’s noteworthy is a steep and narrow trough with decent jet streaks to occur next Wednesday into next weekend. This should ultimately break the wet pattern that we’re in as a surface cold front clears

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Summer Pattern Developing Right on Time

Summer Pattern Developing Right on Time

🕔16:10, 19.Jun 2023

Discussion: We’re nearing the end of the dominant lower geopotential heights pattern we’ve been in. For this next week or so, there’s not much to talk about in the upper levels. 250-500mb appears very mundane. The lower-mid levels will have

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Conditions Improve

Conditions Improve

🕔15:03, 16.Jun 2023

Discussion: The stormfront is just pushing offshore (as of Friday afternoon). Lower geopotential heights will continue to dominate, with a less hot but stormy surface pattern, until around/just after the summer solstice. From now until then expect isolated showers and

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More Thunderstorms Expected Tomorrow

More Thunderstorms Expected Tomorrow

🕔15:06, 15.Jun 2023

Discussion: This article is a bummer to write as I had plans to play golf with my buddies tomorrow. But here we are. As I’ve been covering in the weekly and weekend outlooks, the entire Mid-Atlantic US – and most

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Rain and Storms Start the Week

Rain and Storms Start the Week

🕔14:16, 12.Jun 2023

Discussion: I feel like a broken record at this point but lower geopotential heights will continue to dominate the region’s weather pattern. A series of upper-lows should meander over our region for the foreseeable future. Most models are holding off

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