Discussion: The upper levels for the next week or so appear mundane with zonal flow and only slightly positive geopotential height anomalies. This should allow for a seasonably average set of temperatures with only a few showers here and there.
Discussion: The upper jet pattern this week looks meridional but progressive with an overall W/NW flow aloft. We’ll see the tip of a trough move through the region Wednesday-Thursday then an upper-low directly over NJ Saturday-Sunday. During these periods, temps
Discussion: With the exception of the immediate coasts, most New Jersey areas are into the 80s and even some flirting with 90. Today’s the last of the above-average temperature wave. A weak disturbance should approach with clouds and rain for
Discussion: Today (Monday) is obviously another pleasant day. Temps have already hit 70 almost statewide with a few coastal locations still in the 60s. Skies are mixed, and it should stay this way overnight as temps drop into the 40s/50s.
Discussion: The upper jet will finally shift to the N of New Jersey for most of the foreseeable future. 500mb geopotential heights will reflect this with near-to-above values—indicating a milder pattern setting in. Today (Friday) should be the last of
Discussion: Another week where the upper-jet will be S of NJ with NJ mostly under below-average 500mb geopotential height anomalies. This means colder than average and very unsettled. With such a condensed troposphere, moisture doesn’t have to rise as high
Discussion: The upper jet should remain over or just S of NJ for much of the near future. 500mb geopotential height analysis indicates correlating below-average height anomalies over NJ for the period ending ~May 8. Overall, that speaks most to
Discussion: The upper jet is somewhat inconclusive IMO but 500mb height anomalies tell the story better. For the next 10-14 days, we’re going to see lower heights over the E US in a series of colder/unsettled troughs. This should keep
Discussion: The upper jet should fluctuate either over or S of New Jersey for the next few weeks. This will correlate with a prolonged period of below-average geopotential height anomalies for most of the E US. At the surface it
Discussion: As of right now (Monday afternoon, April 17), a cold front is just passing through, powered by a Great Lakes trough/upper-low and surface low further N in Canada. This is going to set up a cooler/colder period this evening
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